2026-07-15 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
⚠️ Correction (2026-07-16): A simulation data defect affecting 2026-07-08 through 07-15 was found, and this journal has been corrected and republished. A signal-persistence failure caused entries to be recorded at stale signal prices instead of live market prices, producing simulated trades at prices and returns that could not have existed in the market. The defective trades have been quarantined from the ledger and the engine has been repaired. This republished version reflects verified, valid trades only.
Key takeaways
- 75 closed trades, win rate 56.0%, expectancy +0.31% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.59 · avg win +1.48% vs avg loss -1.18% (R:R 1.25).
- Best +13.49% / worst -4.51% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 75 (42W / 33L) |
| Win rate | 56.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.31% |
| Profit factor | 1.59 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.48% / -1.18% |
| Best / worst | +13.49% / -4.51% |
Recap
The session saw 75 closed trades, yielding a win rate of 56.0% and an overall expectancy of +0.31% per trade. The average winning trade realized a gain of +1.48%, compared to an average loss of -1.18%. The profit factor of 1.59 suggests that winning trades have been sufficiently larger than the losing trades. Notable positive outcomes included significant gains on Pump.fun (PUMP) at +13.49% and Babylon (BABY) at +3.35%. Conversely, the largest drawdown observed was on Jito (JTO) at -4.51%, alongside losses on ZEROBASE (ZBT) and eCash (XEC). 
Analysis of Outcomes
The spread between the best recorded gain (+13.49%) and the worst loss (-4.51%) indicates a material difference in risk management execution across the set of trades. The positive expectancy, despite the presence of several notable losses, suggests that the structure of the winning trades has been effective in offsetting the downside risk observed in the losing legs. The performance metrics confirm a positive skew, which is a key observation for assessing the overall edge captured during this period.
Lessons from Drawdowns
The losses incurred on assets like Jito (JTO) and ZEROBASE (ZBT) highlight instances where initial momentum failed to sustain through minor corrections. These specific instances suggest that while identifying initial entry points is valuable, the subsequent price action requires a more robust confirmation signal before maintaining exposure, as the market demonstrated a clear capacity to reverse quickly from initial gains. 
This research note reflects the outcomes of simulated paper trading activity and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
75 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 72 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 아이큐(IQ) | 1.08 | 1.10 | +1.39% | 26.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 20:45 |
| win | 레저메타(LM) | 0.8424 | 0.8425 | +0.01% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | Lisk(LSK) | 125.10 | 125.90 | +0.64% | 20.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 14:45 |
| win | Metronome(MET) | 213.20 | 217.80 | +2.16% | 9.0h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 03:00 |
| win | 터보(TURBO) | 1.22 | 1.24 | +2.22% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | Avalon(AVL) | 30.85 | 30.96 | +0.36% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | dogwifhat(WIF) | 223.20 | 223.80 | +0.27% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | SuperVerse(SUPER) | 125.10 | 125.90 | +0.64% | 27.0h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 21:00 |
| win | ChainBounty(BOUNTY) | 21.13 | 21.61 | +2.27% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | Brevis(BREV) | 107.10 | 108.90 | +1.68% | 17.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 11:30 |
| win | Starknet(STRK) | 42.67 | 43.74 | +2.51% | 4.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-14 22:45 |
| win | Chiliz(CHZ) | 24.14 | 24.43 | +1.20% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| loss | 식스(SIX) | 7.44 | 7.36 | -1.03% | 20.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 14:45 |
| win | Shentu(CTK) | 148.10 | 149.80 | +1.15% | 8.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 02:45 |
| win | Wormhole(W) | 14.01 | 14.29 | +2.00% | 5.0h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-14 23:00 |
| loss | MileVerse(MVC) | 1.75 | 1.75 | -0.17% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | IoTeX(IOTX) | 3.56 | 3.57 | +0.34% | 22.8h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 16:45 |
| win | 엑셀라(WAXL) | 60.72 | 61.41 | +1.14% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | Vulcan Forged(PYR) | 192.20 | 193.80 | +0.83% | 12.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:30 |
| win | Filecoin(FIL) | 1,108 | 1,140 | +2.89% | 12.2h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 06:15 |
| win | 플로키(FLOKI) | 0.0323 | 0.0324 | +0.31% | 20.2h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 14:15 |
| win | 플룸(PLUME) | 14.21 | 14.60 | +2.74% | 7.5h | 07-14 18:00 → 07-15 01:30 |
| win | Moo Deng(MOODENG) | 55.51 | 55.73 | +0.40% | 12.2h | 07-14 18:15 → 07-15 06:30 |
| loss | Renzo(REZ) | 3.53 | 3.53 | -0.09% | 11.0h | 07-14 19:15 → 07-15 06:15 |
| win | 오브스(ORBS) | 8.91 | 8.98 | +0.71% | 11.2h | 07-14 19:15 → 07-15 06:30 |
| loss | Scroll(SCR) | 37.45 | 37.24 | -0.56% | 6.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 13:00 |
| win | Babylon(BABY) | 19.11 | 19.75 | +3.35% | 10.2h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 16:45 |
| win | Ethereum Name Service(ENS) | 6,211 | 6,234 | +0.37% | 14.2h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 20:45 |
| loss | Hyperlane(HYPER) | 100.10 | 99.75 | -0.35% | 4.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 11:00 |
| loss | Metadium(META) | 11.60 | 11.60 | +0.00% | 6.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 13:00 |
| win | Moca Network(MOCA) | 12.82 | 12.86 | +0.31% | 4.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 11:00 |
| win | Moo Deng(MOODENG) | 55.85 | 56.18 | +0.59% | 4.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 11:00 |
| win | Metal DAO(MTL) | 327.30 | 331.70 | +1.34% | 8.2h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 14:45 |
| loss | Ontology Gas(ONG) | 69.32 | 68.77 | -0.79% | 6.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 13:00 |
| loss | 피크(PEAQ) | 26.80 | 26.77 | -0.11% | 6.8h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 13:15 |
| loss | Pocket Network(POKT) | 11.53 | 11.45 | -0.69% | 4.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 11:00 |
| win | Pump.fun(PUMP) | 2.10 | 2.39 | +13.49% | 4.0h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 10:30 |
| win | ApeCoin(APE) | 213.20 | 216.80 | +1.69% | 11.2h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 17:45 |
| win | SKALE(SKL) | 5.96 | 5.97 | +0.27% | 4.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 11:00 |
| loss | 스웰네트워크(SWELL) | 1.10 | 1.10 | +0.00% | 8.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 15:00 |
| win | 바나(VANA) | 1,795 | 1,874 | +4.40% | 3.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 10:00 |
| loss | Virtuals Protocol(VIRTUAL) | 866.90 | 863.10 | -0.44% | 6.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 13:00 |
| loss | eCash(XEC) | 0.0085 | 0.0082 | -3.53% | 3.2h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-15 09:45 |
| loss | SPACE ID(ID) | 50.56 | 48.95 | -3.18% | 4.8h | 07-15 06:45 → 07-15 11:30 |
| loss | 퍼퍼(PUFFER) | 20.06 | 19.94 | -0.60% | 13.8h | 07-15 07:00 → 07-15 20:45 |
| loss | Ardor(ARDR) | 31.03 | 30.85 | -0.58% | 2.2h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 13:15 |
| loss | ETHGas(GWEI) | 72.73 | 70.34 | -3.29% | 2.2h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 13:15 |
| win | Avalon(AVL) | 30.21 | 30.40 | +0.63% | 2.0h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 13:00 |
| loss | Official Trump(TRUMP) | 2,312 | 2,290 | -0.95% | 0.5h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 11:30 |
| loss | Starknet(STRK) | 42.90 | 42.54 | -0.84% | 2.0h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 13:00 |
| loss | Theta Fuel(TFUEL) | 11.37 | 11.35 | -0.18% | 2.0h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 13:00 |
| win | Cookie DAO(COOKIE) | 13.04 | 13.21 | +1.30% | 6.0h | 07-15 11:00 → 07-15 17:00 |
| loss | PHALA(PHA) | 34.23 | 33.67 | -1.64% | 2.8h | 07-15 11:30 → 07-15 14:15 |
| win | Gravity (by Galxe)(G) | 5.17 | 5.18 | +0.15% | 1.5h | 07-15 11:30 → 07-15 13:00 |
| win | Metronome(MET) | 235.20 | 242.80 | +3.23% | 2.2h | 07-15 11:30 → 07-15 13:45 |
| loss | cat in a dogs world(MEW) | 0.5301 | 0.5292 | -0.17% | 1.2h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 14:15 |
| loss | Jito(JTO) | 926.90 | 885.10 | -4.51% | 3.0h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 16:00 |
| win | MultiversX(EGLD) | 4,805 | 4,836 | +0.65% | 7.2h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 20:15 |
| loss | 오비터파이낸스(OBT) | 0.5005 | 0.4962 | -0.86% | 7.8h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 20:45 |
| win | Vulcan Forged(PYR) | 194.20 | 194.80 | +0.31% | 1.8h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 14:45 |
| loss | 밸런스(EPT) | 0.8263 | 0.7988 | -3.33% | 2.0h | 07-15 13:00 → 07-15 15:00 |
| loss | Avalon(AVL) | 30.46 | 30.41 | -0.16% | 1.0h | 07-15 13:15 → 07-15 14:15 |
| loss | Scroll(SCR) | 37.32 | 36.96 | -0.96% | 1.0h | 07-15 13:15 → 07-15 14:15 |
| loss | Virtuals Protocol(VIRTUAL) | 864.90 | 859.10 | -0.67% | 1.0h | 07-15 13:15 → 07-15 14:15 |
| win | 어베일(AVAIL) | 4.10 | 4.14 | +0.93% | 6.5h | 07-15 14:15 → 07-15 20:45 |
| win | Chiliz(CHZ) | 24.29 | 24.34 | +0.21% | 6.5h | 07-15 14:15 → 07-15 20:45 |
| loss | ZEROBASE(ZBT) | 140.10 | 134.90 | -3.71% | 0.8h | 07-15 14:15 → 07-15 15:00 |
| loss | Perle(PRL) | 252.30 | 243.80 | -3.37% | 2.2h | 07-15 14:15 → 07-15 16:30 |
| win | 웨이브(WAVES) | 373.40 | 375.60 | +0.59% | 6.0h | 07-15 14:45 → 07-15 20:45 |
| loss | cat in a dogs world(MEW) | 0.5293 | 0.5238 | -1.04% | 6.0h | 07-15 14:45 → 07-15 20:45 |
| win | ChainBounty(BOUNTY) | 21.63 | 21.69 | +0.28% | 6.2h | 07-15 14:45 → 07-15 21:00 |
| loss | 오브스(ORBS) | 8.87 | 8.81 | -0.69% | 6.0h | 07-15 14:45 → 07-15 20:45 |
As of 2026-07-15 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)