2026-07-15 US Trading Journal — Maine
⚠️ Correction (2026-07-16): A simulation data defect affecting 2026-07-08 through 07-15 was found, and this journal has been corrected and republished. A signal-persistence failure caused entries to be recorded at stale signal prices instead of live market prices, producing simulated trades at prices and returns that could not have existed in the market. The defective trades have been quarantined from the ledger and the engine has been repaired. This republished version reflects verified, valid trades only.
Key takeaways
- 5 closed trades, win rate 60.0%, expectancy +0.07% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.06 · avg win +1.81% vs avg loss -2.55% (R:R 0.71).
- Best +2.95% / worst -3.20% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 5 (3W / 2L) |
| Win rate | 60.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.07% |
| Profit factor | 1.06 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.81% / -2.55% |
| Best / worst | +2.95% / -3.20% |
Recap
The recent set of closed trades showed a positive expectancy of +0.07% per trade, supported by a 60.0% win rate. The average winning trade added 1.81% to the account, which was notably stronger than the average losing trade of -2.55%. Specific highlights included the gains from Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) at +2.95% and EQT Corporation (EQT) at +2.24% 
. The performance suggests that the successful trades were able to capture meaningful upside relative to the downside exposures observed in the losing trades, such as IDEXX Laboratories, Inc. (IDXX) at -3.20% and Emerson Electric Company (EMR) at -1.89%.
Lessons from Outcomes
The trades that resulted in losses, particularly those with deeper drawdowns like IDXX and EMR, provided clear data points regarding overextension or resistance levels. The magnitude of the losses relative to the wins suggests that while the positive outcomes were robust, the downside risk taken on those specific names was significant. Observing the spread between the best outcome (+2.95%) and the worst outcome (-3.20%) indicates a considerable range of market behavior captured during this period 
.
Observations
Overall, the profit factor of 1.06 indicates that the gains slightly outweighed the losses across the closed set. The positive average win versus the negative average loss is a structural observation of the recent activity. It is helpful to note the relative strength shown by AZO (+0.23%) alongside the larger gains, suggesting varied levels of conviction across different sectors 
.
This research note reflects historical paper-trading performance and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
5 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 5 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | AutoZone, Inc.(AZO) | 3,038 | 3,045 | +0.23% | 166.0h | 07-08 01:05 → 07-14 23:05 |
| loss | Emerson Electric Company(EMR) | 137.70 | 135.10 | -1.89% | 168.0h | 07-08 01:05 → 07-15 01:05 |
| loss | IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.(IDXX) | 565.20 | 547.10 | -3.20% | 166.5h | 07-08 01:05 → 07-14 23:35 |
| win | EQT Corporation(EQT) | 48.60 | 49.69 | +2.24% | 94.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-14 23:35 |
| win | Constellation Energy Corporatio(CEG) | 251.20 | 258.60 | +2.95% | 94.2h | 07-11 02:30 → 07-15 00:40 |
As of 2026-07-15 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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