2026-07-16 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 60 closed trades, win rate 38.3%, expectancy -0.77% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.36 · avg win +1.11% vs avg loss -1.94% (R:R 0.57).
- Best +4.08% / worst -5.28% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 60 (23W / 37L) |
| Win rate | 38.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.77% |
| Profit factor | 0.36 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.11% / -1.94% |
| Best / worst | +4.08% / -5.28% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity shows a mixed outcome. Out of the sixty trades concluded, the win rate settled at 38.3%. The average realized expectancy was negative at -0.77% per trade. The profit factor of 0.36 suggests that the average loss magnitude was significantly larger than the average win magnitude, as evidenced by the average win of +1.11% against an average loss of -1.94%. Notable positive returns were observed in sectors like financials (COF at +4.08%) and industrials (CLX at +3.30%), while the largest single loss came from LITE at -5.28%. 
Lessons from Outcomes
The performance metrics indicate that the magnitude of losses substantially outweighed the gains realized across the closed set. The depth of the negative outcomes, particularly the -5.28% recorded loss, suggests that the risk taken on certain names, such as LITE and FIX, resulted in disproportionately large drawdowns relative to the positive captures. This pattern suggests that the downside risk management, when it materialized, was not sufficiently buffered by the smaller wins. 
Observations
The data reflects a period where the realized equity curve was pulled down by several significant single-stock detractors. While some positions, like STT, captured respectable gains, the overall structure of the closed trades points toward a negative drift for the period analyzed. The spread between the best (+4.08%) and worst (-5.28%) outcomes is quite wide, suggesting high volatility exposure within the selected names. 
This research note reflects a simulation of historical trading outcomes and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
60 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 55 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| loss | Newmont Corporation(NEM) | 95.00 | 93.77 | -1.29% | 168.1h | 07-09 01:45 → 07-16 01:50 |
| win | FirstEnergy Corp.(FE) | 47.66 | 49.11 | +3.04% | 119.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-16 00:35 |
| win | Akamai Technologies, Inc.(AKAM) | 125.60 | 125.80 | +0.16% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| loss | Cardinal Health, Inc.(CAH) | 235.30 | 227.70 | -3.23% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| loss | Cadence Design Systems, Inc.(CDNS) | 384.80 | 370.70 | -3.66% | 119.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-16 00:35 |
| loss | Assurant, Inc.(AIZ) | 280.00 | 273.60 | -2.29% | 117.8h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:25 |
| loss | GE Aerospace(GE) | 360.70 | 354.60 | -1.69% | 119.8h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-16 01:20 |
| win | Alexandria Real Estate Equities(ARE) | 47.99 | 48.14 | +0.31% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| win | Pinnacle West Capital Corporati(PNW) | 107.40 | 108.40 | +0.93% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| win | Ford Motor Company(F) | 14.03 | 14.04 | +0.07% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| loss | Parker-Hannifin Corporation(PH) | 962.10 | 959.40 | -0.28% | 117.5h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:05 |
| win | Copart, Inc.(CPRT) | 27.77 | 27.84 | +0.25% | 118.2h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:45 |
| win | MetLife, Inc.(MET) | 91.55 | 91.99 | +0.48% | 117.5h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:05 |
| win | American Water Works Company, I(AWK) | 130.40 | 131.10 | +0.54% | 117.5h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:05 |
| loss | Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio(EW) | 91.21 | 88.36 | -3.12% | 117.0h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 22:35 |
| win | State Street Corporation(STT) | 178.90 | 184.70 | +3.24% | 117.8h | 07-11 01:35 → 07-15 23:25 |
| loss | Procter & Gamble Company (The)(PG) | 147.40 | 145.50 | -1.29% | 117.4h | 07-11 01:40 → 07-15 23:05 |
| loss | EMCOR Group, Inc.(EME) | 778.80 | 751.90 | -3.45% | 116.9h | 07-11 02:30 → 07-15 23:25 |
| loss | Broadcom Inc.(AVGO) | 401.60 | 387.70 | -3.46% | 25.8h | 07-14 23:35 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Fortive Corporation(FTV) | 62.19 | 60.19 | -3.22% | 25.8h | 07-14 23:35 → 07-16 01:20 |
| win | Capital One Financial Corporati(COF) | 200.80 | 209.00 | +4.08% | 24.7h | 07-15 00:40 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.(ORLY) | 85.33 | 83.04 | -2.68% | 2.2h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 01:20 |
| win | Align Technology, Inc.(ALGN) | 180.30 | 184.40 | +2.27% | 0.7h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:45 |
| loss | A.O. Smith Corporation(AOS) | 60.73 | 60.10 | -1.04% | 3.3h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 02:25 |
| loss | Aptiv PLC(APTV) | 59.01 | 58.38 | -1.07% | 2.2h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 01:20 |
| win | Ball Corporation(BALL) | 60.54 | 60.75 | +0.35% | 0.7h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:45 |
| win | Clorox Company (The)(CLX) | 94.29 | 97.40 | +3.30% | 1.5h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:35 |
| loss | CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin(CNP) | 43.86 | 43.63 | -0.52% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| loss | Equinix, Inc.(EQIX) | 1,023 | 1,023 | +0.00% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| loss | Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio(EW) | 88.53 | 88.11 | -0.47% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | Fifth Third Bancorp(FITB) | 57.46 | 57.52 | +0.10% | 0.7h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:45 |
| loss | Comfort Systems USA, Inc.(FIX) | 1,777 | 1,694 | -4.67% | 0.3h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:25 |
| loss | Federal Realty Investment Trust(FRT) | 123.00 | 122.10 | -0.73% | 2.2h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Fortinet, Inc.(FTNT) | 169.80 | 164.00 | -3.42% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.(GEHC) | 62.22 | 63.46 | +1.99% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.(IDXX) | 547.00 | 563.70 | +3.05% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| loss | Keysight Technologies Inc.(KEYS) | 326.30 | 322.70 | -1.10% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | Coca-Cola Company (The)(KO) | 82.52 | 82.93 | +0.50% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| loss | Lumentum Holdings Inc.(LITE) | 785.80 | 744.30 | -5.28% | 1.5h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:35 |
| win | Las Vegas Sands Corp.(LVS) | 44.49 | 44.50 | +0.02% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.(ODFL) | 227.00 | 227.50 | +0.22% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| win | PTC Inc.(PTC) | 124.40 | 124.70 | +0.24% | 2.2h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Qnity Electronics, Inc.(Q) | 142.50 | 137.70 | -3.37% | 0.9h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-16 00:00 |
| loss | Super Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI) | 28.23 | 27.20 | -3.65% | 0.3h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:25 |
| win | Constellation Brands, Inc.(STZ) | 132.00 | 132.20 | +0.15% | 0.7h | 07-15 23:05 → 07-15 23:45 |
| win | Assurant, Inc.(AIZ) | 274.10 | 274.80 | +0.26% | 1.6h | 07-15 23:45 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Micron Technology, Inc.(MU) | 924.20 | 888.30 | -3.88% | 1.6h | 07-15 23:45 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Super Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI) | 27.26 | 26.33 | -3.41% | 2.1h | 07-15 23:45 → 07-16 01:50 |
| loss | The J.M. Smucker Company(SJM) | 110.10 | 108.60 | -1.36% | 1.8h | 07-16 00:00 → 07-16 01:50 |
| loss | Hubbell Inc(HUBB) | 479.00 | 476.40 | -0.54% | 1.1h | 07-16 00:00 → 07-16 01:05 |
| loss | Public Storage(PSA) | 320.80 | 316.00 | -1.50% | 1.3h | 07-16 00:00 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Coherent Corp.(COHR) | 295.40 | 284.10 | -3.83% | 1.3h | 07-16 00:00 → 07-16 01:20 |
| loss | Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.(SWK) | 87.01 | 86.83 | -0.21% | 0.6h | 07-16 01:50 → 07-16 02:25 |
| loss | Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.(MLM) | 569.10 | 568.00 | -0.19% | 0.6h | 07-16 01:50 → 07-16 02:25 |
| loss | Coca-Cola Company (The)(KO) | 83.27 | 83.11 | -0.19% | 0.6h | 07-16 01:50 → 07-16 02:25 |
As of 2026-07-16 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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