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2026-07-17 US Trading Journal — Maine

Key takeaways

  • 347 closed trades, win rate 27.7%, expectancy -0.17% per trade.
  • Profit factor 0.59 · avg win +0.85% vs avg loss -0.55% (R:R 1.55).
  • Best +5.79% / worst -6.06% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
  • Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.

Metrics

MetricValue
Closed trades347 (96W / 251L)
Win rate27.7%
Expectancy / trade-0.17%
Profit factor0.59
Avg win / avg loss+0.85% / -0.55%
Best / worst+5.79% / -6.06%

Recap

The day’s closed trading activity reflects a challenging period. With 347 trades executed, the overall win rate settled at 27.7%, and the expectancy per trade was negative at -0.17%. The profit factor of 0.59 suggests that the average magnitude of losses outweighed the average magnitude of gains. Notable positive outcomes included gains from Stryker Corporation (SYK) at +5.79%, Philip Morris International Inc (PM) at +4.93%, and Cintas Corporation (CTAS) at +4.76%. Conversely, the losses were significant, highlighted by Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) declining by -6.06%, ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) falling -4.43%, and Applovin Corporation (APP) at -3.75%. The disparity between the best gain and the worst loss indicates considerable volatility exposure today Maine.

Observations

The performance metrics—specifically the negative expectancy and profit factor below one—suggest that the risk taken on losing trades has been disproportionately large relative to the gains captured. The spread between the average winning outcome (+0.85%) and the average losing outcome (-0.55%) is relatively narrow, which, when combined with the overall negative expectancy, points to a structural drag on performance across the sampled trades. The depth of the losses, exemplified by the -6.06% move in one instance, suggests that exposure to sharp downward movements warrants careful consideration Maine.

For Next Time

The outcomes from the losing trades, particularly those involving established names like NOW and the significant drawdown in ERIE, underscore the difficulty in maintaining positive risk-adjusted returns in the current market regime. The data suggests that the frequency of negative expectancy trades, even when balanced against several smaller wins, is the primary drag. The objective takeaway is the need to manage the magnitude of losses more stringently, as the current structure does not support a positive expected value Maine.

This research note is for informational analysis purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Closed trades (chronological)

347 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 182 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.

ResultSymbolBuySellP&LHeldEntry → Exit (KST)
winHome Depot, Inc. (The)(HD)342.50346.70+1.23%145.0h07-11 01:35 → 07-17 02:35
lossAmphenol Corporation(APH)159.50154.20-3.32%141.0h07-11 01:35 → 07-16 22:35
lossCMS Energy Corporation(CMS)75.3374.67-0.88%141.7h07-11 01:35 → 07-16 23:15
winAutoZone, Inc.(AZO)3,0263,043+0.56%49.2h07-14 23:15 → 07-17 00:30
winSmurfit WestRock plc(SW)43.6544.39+1.70%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
winStarbucks Corporation(SBUX)105.30107.90+2.47%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
winFiserv, Inc.(FISV)50.8050.88+0.16%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
winCharter Communications, Inc.(CHTR)130.10133.00+2.23%24.0h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:05
winPepsico, Inc.(PEP)135.40139.20+2.81%28.4h07-15 23:05 → 07-17 03:30
winBlackRock, Inc.(BLK)1,0941,105+1.01%24.0h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:05
winLeidos Holdings, Inc.(LDOS)106.60108.00+1.31%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
lossPPL Corporation(PPL)36.1736.01-0.44%23.8h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 22:55
winRollins, Inc.(ROL)44.1345.18+2.38%24.0h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:05
winModerna, Inc.(MRNA)66.8866.94+0.09%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
lossDelta Air Lines, Inc.(DAL)85.8485.62-0.26%24.2h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:15
winPhilip Morris International Inc(PM)176.40185.10+4.93%24.7h07-15 23:05 → 07-16 23:45
lossEMCOR Group, Inc.(EME)753.40749.30-0.54%28.1h07-15 23:45 → 07-17 03:50
lossGE Vernova Inc.(GEV)1,0301,025-0.49%28.0h07-15 23:45 → 07-17 03:45
winFidelity National Information S(FIS)41.8741.91+0.10%22.8h07-15 23:45 → 07-16 22:35
winPPG Industries, Inc.(PPG)116.60117.80+1.03%23.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:15
winStryker Corporation(SYK)316.00334.30+5.79%23.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:15
lossTeradyne, Inc.(TER)334.30329.20-1.53%23.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:15
lossAlign Technology, Inc.(ALGN)183.00178.40-2.51%25.3h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 01:20
lossJabil Inc.(JBL)320.30310.30-3.12%24.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 00:10
lossSynchrony Financial(SYF)74.8773.86-1.35%25.5h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 01:30
lossIncyte Corporation(INCY)114.50114.20-0.26%22.6h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 22:35
winSteel Dynamics, Inc.(STLD)232.40236.00+1.55%28.7h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 04:40
winBall Corporation(BALL)61.1562.66+2.47%27.9h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 03:55
winBuilders FirstSource, Inc.(BLDR)76.4577.99+2.01%25.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 01:10
lossServiceNow, Inc.(NOW)106.00101.30-4.43%22.6h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 22:35
lossTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(TKO)187.10181.90-2.78%23.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:15
winFifth Third Bancorp(FITB)57.9759.22+2.16%25.3h07-16 00:00 → 07-17 01:20
winInsulet Corporation(PODD)162.70166.50+2.34%23.8h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:50
lossCoinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)163.00162.20-0.49%23.2h07-16 00:00 → 07-16 23:15
lossQnity Electronics, Inc.(Q)138.00137.50-0.36%23.0h07-16 00:15 → 07-16 23:15
winKLA Corporation(KLAC)221.70223.00+0.59%23.0h07-16 00:15 → 07-16 23:15
winIDEXX Laboratories, Inc.(IDXX)564.80575.80+1.95%23.0h07-16 00:15 → 07-16 23:15
winClorox Company (The)(CLX)97.5999.06+1.51%26.5h07-16 00:50 → 07-17 03:20
lossCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)205.50204.60-0.44%24.1h07-16 01:05 → 07-17 01:10
winMcCormick & Company, Incorporat(MKC)51.9752.34+0.71%23.6h07-16 01:05 → 07-17 00:40
winLoews Corporation(L)113.00113.20+0.18%21.8h07-16 01:05 → 07-16 22:55
lossLumentum Holdings Inc.(LITE)724.90702.30-3.12%23.6h07-16 01:20 → 07-17 00:55
winEdison International(EIX)77.0677.18+0.16%21.2h07-16 01:20 → 07-16 22:35
lossPalantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)134.00130.50-2.61%21.6h07-16 01:20 → 07-16 22:55
lossElevance Health, Inc.(ELV)389.80375.90-3.57%21.8h07-16 01:20 → 07-16 23:05
lossErie Indemnity Company(ERIE)232.80218.70-6.06%21.2h07-16 01:20 → 07-16 22:35
winHubbell Inc(HUBB)473.60474.10+0.11%21.2h07-16 01:20 → 07-16 22:35
winCoherent Corp.(COHR)285.10285.90+0.28%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
lossInternational Business Machines(IBM)213.30205.80-3.52%20.8h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 22:35
lossBoeing Company (The)(BA)218.60215.30-1.51%26.1h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 03:55
winHP Inc.(HPQ)23.4023.80+1.71%24.6h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 02:25
losseBay Inc.(EBAY)113.10110.60-2.21%24.2h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 02:00
lossMicron Technology, Inc.(MU)890.10861.10-3.26%21.9h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:45
winFortive Corporation(FTV)60.2961.61+2.19%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
winW.W. Grainger, Inc.(GWW)1,3681,391+1.68%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
lossRobinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD)114.00110.20-3.33%23.1h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 00:55
winBaxter International Inc.(BAX)22.4423.10+2.94%24.3h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 02:10
winDell Technologies Inc.(DELL)394.90405.00+2.56%21.2h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:05
winCintas Corporation(CTAS)193.30202.50+4.76%21.2h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:05
lossL3Harris Technologies, Inc.(LHX)288.00284.20-1.32%22.7h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 00:30
winCapital One Financial Corporati(COF)209.20211.10+0.91%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
lossCincinnati Financial Corporatio(CINF)176.30173.60-1.53%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
lossDuPont de Nemours, Inc.(DD)133.70132.90-0.60%24.2h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 02:00
lossJacobs Solutions Inc.(J)130.40129.70-0.54%20.8h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 22:35
winIntuit Inc.(INTU)281.60284.20+0.92%20.8h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 22:35
lossApplovin Corporation(APP)453.10436.10-3.75%21.2h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:05
lossBroadcom Inc.(AVGO)388.70375.70-3.34%25.0h07-16 01:50 → 07-17 02:50
lossBlackstone Inc.(BX)129.10126.00-2.40%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
winPacific Gas & Electric Co.(PCG)17.5417.63+0.51%21.4h07-16 01:50 → 07-16 23:15
lossSuper Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI)26.3925.50-3.37%21.8h07-16 02:25 → 07-17 00:10
lossNewmont Corporation(NEM)93.9693.30-0.70%20.8h07-16 02:25 → 07-16 23:15
winF5, Inc.(FFIV)416.90417.30+0.10%20.5h07-16 02:25 → 07-16 22:55
winThe J.M. Smucker Company(SJM)108.90110.90+1.84%20.8h07-16 02:25 → 07-16 23:15
winCarrier Global Corporation(CARR)67.9568.14+0.28%20.5h07-16 02:25 → 07-16 22:55
winGen Digital Inc.(GEN)26.6626.68+0.08%1.1h07-16 22:55 → 07-17 00:00
winEverest Group, Ltd.(EG)370.00370.50+0.14%0.8h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 00:00
lossCentene Corporation(CNC)67.0865.41-2.49%2.8h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 02:00
winDaVita Inc.(DVA)234.50235.10+0.26%3.3h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 02:35
lossLoews Corporation(L)114.00113.70-0.26%2.1h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 01:20
lossEquinix, Inc.(EQIX)1,0051,004-0.10%2.9h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 02:10
lossFortinet, Inc.(FTNT)162.90162.00-0.55%1.2h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 00:30
lossGeneral Dynamics Corporation(GD)365.50365.40-0.03%2.5h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 01:45
winAmerican International Group, I(AIG)78.0678.23+0.22%1.2h07-16 23:15 → 07-17 00:25
lossConstellation Brands, Inc.(STZ)134.80134.70-0.07%1.1h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 00:30
winCoStar Group, Inc.(CSGP)29.5230.31+2.68%1.6h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 01:00
winCBRE Group Inc(CBRE)141.80142.60+0.56%5.6h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 05:00
lossMicrochip Technology Incorporat(MCHP)84.2081.83-2.81%3.0h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 02:25
winFederal Realty Investment Trust(FRT)124.40124.50+0.08%1.2h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 00:40
winMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.(MLM)575.70577.10+0.24%0.9h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 00:20
lossCaterpillar, Inc.(CAT)892.80888.20-0.52%1.9h07-16 23:25 → 07-17 01:20
lossMid-America Apartment Communiti(MAA)134.10133.50-0.45%0.7h07-16 23:30 → 07-17 00:10
lossMicron Technology, Inc.(MU)862.90854.50-0.97%3.5h07-16 23:50 → 07-17 03:20
winPhilip Morris International Inc(PM)185.40185.60+0.11%2.3h07-16 23:50 → 07-17 02:10
lossIDEX Corporation(IEX)228.50227.70-0.35%1.9h07-17 00:00 → 07-17 01:55
lossInsulet Corporation(PODD)166.80166.10-0.42%1.8h07-17 00:00 → 07-17 01:45
winThe J.M. Smucker Company(SJM)111.50111.80+0.27%0.5h07-17 00:10 → 07-17 00:40
lossNetApp, Inc.(NTAP)158.70158.60-0.06%0.7h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 01:10
lossPalo Alto Networks, Inc.(PANW)354.60351.30-0.93%2.1h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 02:35
lossEli Lilly and Company(LLY)1,1841,179-0.42%1.1h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 01:35
lossAmcor plc(AMCR)44.8644.77-0.20%1.7h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 02:10
lossStarbucks Corporation(SBUX)108.60108.20-0.37%0.7h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 01:10
lossHCA Healthcare, Inc.(HCA)390.90386.70-1.07%2.2h07-17 00:30 → 07-17 02:45
lossPublic Service Enterprise Group(PEG)79.7179.12-0.74%0.9h07-17 00:50 → 07-17 01:45
lossAmerican International Group, I(AIG)78.3977.93-0.59%1.2h07-17 00:50 → 07-17 02:00
winAdobe Inc.(ADBE)227.60231.20+1.58%1.5h07-17 00:55 → 07-17 02:25
lossLinde plc(LIN)517.60515.10-0.48%1.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 02:45
lossComfort Systems USA, Inc.(FIX)1,6711,664-0.42%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
lossInternational Flavors & Fragran(IFF)77.0476.83-0.27%0.7h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:50
winJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, I(JBHT)294.70295.30+0.20%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
lossKimco Realty Corporation (HC)(KIM)25.7625.66-0.39%1.0h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 02:10
winKroger Company (The)(KR)57.8158.16+0.61%1.4h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 02:35
winLeidos Holdings, Inc.(LDOS)108.20108.80+0.55%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
lossLockheed Martin Corporation(LMT)518.70514.80-0.75%1.0h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 02:10
winSouthwest Airlines Company(LUV)49.5349.57+0.08%1.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 02:45
winMcCormick & Company, Incorporat(MKC)52.4852.67+0.36%2.7h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 03:50
lossMerck & Company, Inc.(MRK)128.20127.80-0.31%0.7h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:50
lossPPG Industries, Inc.(PPG)118.30117.80-0.42%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
winPublic Storage(PSA)321.70321.90+0.06%3.7h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 04:50
winPTC Inc.(PTC)126.10126.80+0.56%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
winPayPal Holdings, Inc.(PYPL)57.0057.26+0.46%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
lossTKO Group Holdings, Inc.(TKO)183.50182.60-0.49%0.6h07-17 01:10 → 07-17 01:45
winAvery Dennison Corporation(AVY)161.50161.70+0.12%2.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 03:50
winCarrier Global Corporation(CARR)69.0069.16+0.23%3.0h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 04:20
lossAmeriprise Financial, Inc.(AMP)529.60528.40-0.23%1.8h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 03:10
winAutodesk, Inc.(ADSK)214.40215.20+0.37%0.7h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 02:00
winMicrosoft Corporation(MSFT)400.00401.00+0.25%0.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 01:50
lossDelta Air Lines, Inc.(DAL)86.0886.08+0.00%0.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 01:50
winBrown Forman Inc(BF-B)25.9325.96+0.12%2.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 03:50
lossDigital Realty Trust, Inc.(DLR)173.70173.20-0.29%0.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 01:50
lossDover Corporation(DOV)217.20215.80-0.64%0.5h07-17 01:20 → 07-17 01:50
winGoDaddy Inc.(GDDY)93.5093.78+0.30%1.2h07-17 01:25 → 07-17 02:35
lossSBA Communications Corporation(SBAC)184.50184.20-0.16%0.7h07-17 01:30 → 07-17 02:10
lossO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.(ORLY)86.0185.77-0.28%2.2h07-17 01:35 → 07-17 03:45
winBroadridge Financial Solutions,(BR)152.60152.90+0.20%0.8h07-17 01:50 → 07-17 02:35
winCoca-Cola Company (The)(KO)84.3684.47+0.13%0.8h07-17 01:50 → 07-17 02:35
lossAmerican Water Works Company, I(AWK)133.40133.40+0.00%2.1h07-17 01:50 → 07-17 03:55
winEdwards Lifesciences Corporatio(EW)86.8687.19+0.38%0.9h07-17 01:55 → 07-17 02:50
lossEverest Group, Ltd.(EG)371.20370.60-0.16%2.0h07-17 01:55 → 07-17 03:55
winInternational Business Machines(IBM)217.30217.50+0.09%0.6h07-17 02:00 → 07-17 02:35
lossCoinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)163.70160.60-1.89%1.8h07-17 02:00 → 07-17 03:50
lossElevance Health, Inc.(ELV)378.00373.50-1.19%2.3h07-17 02:00 → 07-17 04:20
winCisco Systems, Inc.(CSCO)108.30108.70+0.37%0.8h07-17 02:00 → 07-17 02:50
lossPayPal Holdings, Inc.(PYPL)57.6456.96-1.18%2.0h07-17 02:10 → 07-17 04:10
lossRaymond James Financial, Inc.(RJF)169.70168.80-0.53%0.7h07-17 02:10 → 07-17 02:50
lossLam Research Corporation(LRCX)321.80318.10-1.15%1.5h07-17 02:10 → 07-17 03:40
lossFortive Corporation(FTV)62.0562.02-0.05%1.7h07-17 02:10 → 07-17 03:50
lossBlackstone Inc.(BX)128.40127.90-0.39%1.2h07-17 02:10 → 07-17 03:20
lossDoorDash, Inc.(DASH)187.60185.40-1.17%2.7h07-17 02:20 → 07-17 05:00
lossS&P Global Inc.(SPGI)455.70453.50-0.48%0.5h07-17 02:20 → 07-17 02:50
lossParker-Hannifin Corporation(PH)963.60958.70-0.51%1.4h07-17 02:25 → 07-17 03:50
lossTE Connectivity plc(TEL)199.60198.80-0.40%0.7h07-17 02:35 → 07-17 03:15
winSLB Limited(SLB)47.1047.13+0.06%0.9h07-17 02:35 → 07-17 03:30
lossLeidos Holdings, Inc.(LDOS)109.20108.90-0.27%0.8h07-17 02:45 → 07-17 03:30
lossKimberly-Clark Corporation(KMB)109.10109.00-0.09%1.4h07-17 02:45 → 07-17 04:10
winPTC Inc.(PTC)126.90127.60+0.55%0.9h07-17 02:45 → 07-17 03:40
lossIDEX Corporation(IEX)227.40227.30-0.04%1.3h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 04:10
lossWEC Energy Group, Inc.(WEC)113.70113.70+0.00%0.5h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 03:20
lossJohnson Controls International(JCI)140.80140.50-0.21%0.5h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 03:20
lossPPG Industries, Inc.(PPG)117.70117.70+0.00%0.5h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 03:20
lossCoca-Cola Company (The)(KO)84.8084.68-0.14%1.1h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 03:55
lossAutoZone, Inc.(AZO)3,0373,037+0.00%1.0h07-17 02:50 → 07-17 03:50
lossJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, I(JBHT)294.60292.90-0.58%0.6h07-17 02:55 → 07-17 03:30
winHP Inc.(HPQ)23.7523.87+0.51%0.8h07-17 02:55 → 07-17 03:45
winBlock, Inc.(XYZ)80.9581.18+0.28%0.8h07-17 02:55 → 07-17 03:40
lossRepublic Services, Inc.(RSG)225.10224.70-0.18%0.8h07-17 02:55 → 07-17 03:40
lossAssurant, Inc.(AIZ)276.00274.40-0.58%0.8h07-17 03:00 → 07-17 03:45
lossHumana Inc.(HUM)399.80394.70-1.28%0.7h07-17 03:10 → 07-17 03:50
lossFortinet, Inc.(FTNT)161.80161.70-0.06%0.6h07-17 03:15 → 07-17 03:50
lossCRH PLC(CRH)105.10105.10+0.00%1.3h07-17 03:20 → 07-17 04:40
lossMid-America Apartment Communiti(MAA)135.00134.90-0.07%0.9h07-17 03:30 → 07-17 04:25
lossSkyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS)57.1556.86-0.51%1.2h07-17 03:30 → 07-17 04:40
lossFactSet Research Systems Inc.(FDS)262.90261.10-0.68%1.5h07-17 03:30 → 07-17 05:00
lossPTC Inc.(PTC)127.80127.50-0.23%0.9h07-17 03:45 → 07-17 04:40
winHP Inc.(HPQ)23.9223.94+0.08%0.8h07-17 03:50 → 07-17 04:40
lossDaVita Inc.(DVA)235.40234.80-0.25%1.0h07-17 03:50 → 07-17 04:50
lossAlbemarle Corporation(ALB)118.50118.40-0.08%0.8h07-17 03:55 → 07-17 04:40
lossRaymond James Financial, Inc.(RJF)168.70168.50-0.12%0.8h07-17 03:55 → 07-17 04:40
lossParker-Hannifin Corporation(PH)958.50957.60-0.09%0.8h07-17 03:55 → 07-17 04:40
winComfort Systems USA, Inc.(FIX)1,6661,676+0.60%0.5h07-17 03:55 → 07-17 04:25
lossMerck & Company, Inc.(MRK)128.20127.00-0.94%0.8h07-17 04:10 → 07-17 05:00
lossGarmin Ltd.(GRMN)250.00249.40-0.24%0.8h07-17 04:10 → 07-17 05:00
lossInsulet Corporation(PODD)166.30164.70-0.96%0.5h07-17 04:10 → 07-17 04:40

As of 2026-07-17 (KST).

Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.

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