2026-07-19 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 148 closed trades, win rate 33.8%, expectancy -0.34% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.53 · avg win +1.15% vs avg loss -1.11% (R:R 1.04).
- Best +5.95% / worst -4.37% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 148 (50W / 98L) |
| Win rate | 33.8% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.34% |
| Profit factor | 0.53 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.15% / -1.11% |
| Best / worst | +5.95% / -4.37% |
Recap
The session saw 148 closed trades, resulting in a win rate of 33.8%. The overall expectancy was negative at -0.34% per trade, with a profit factor of 0.53. Wins tended to average around +1.15%, while losses averaged -1.11%. Notable positive outcomes included gains on BTR (+5.95%), ATH (+4.47%), and WET (+4.34%). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed on COS (-4.37%), AMP (-3.85%), and a second instance on WET (-3.80%). The spread between the best (+5.95%) and worst (-4.37%) outcomes suggests significant variance in execution results 
.
Observations
The performance metrics indicate that the magnitude of losses is closely tracking the magnitude of gains, which is typical when the profit factor remains below parity. The repeated appearance of WET in both notable wins and notable losses suggests that the asset exhibited high volatility relative to the trade duration, leading to outcomes that bracketed the average expectation. The negative expectancy across the sample suggests that the average cost of capital or slippage factored into the closed trades is eroding overall positive momentum 
.
For Next Time
The clustering of losses around specific assets, such as COS and AMP, suggests that the market structure for those particular pairs was challenging to navigate during the observed period. The data points highlight that even when significant gains are realized, the frequency of smaller, negative outcomes drags the overall expected value down. The pattern suggests a need for increased caution when the average loss size approaches the average win size 
.
This research note is for analytical review purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
148 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 132 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| loss | Stader(SD) | 166.20 | 160.80 | -3.25% | 108.5h | 07-15 06:30 → 07-19 19:00 |
| win | Request(REQ) | 79.08 | 80.08 | +1.26% | 85.5h | 07-16 01:45 → 07-19 15:15 |
| loss | PancakeSwap(CAKE) | 2,057 | 2,049 | -0.39% | 70.2h | 07-16 10:45 → 07-19 09:00 |
| loss | 세이(SEI) | 70.04 | 68.77 | -1.81% | 46.5h | 07-17 06:15 → 07-19 04:45 |
| loss | Superclaw(SUPER) | 123.10 | 121.90 | -0.97% | 41.5h | 07-17 08:15 → 07-19 01:45 |
| win | 오브스(ORBS) | 8.66 | 8.75 | +1.10% | 38.0h | 07-17 15:15 → 07-19 05:15 |
| loss | Arweave(AR) | 2,816 | 2,765 | -1.81% | 33.2h | 07-17 16:30 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Hashflow(HFT) | 12.69 | 12.50 | -1.50% | 32.2h | 07-17 17:30 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Walrus(WAL) | 43.48 | 42.86 | -1.43% | 29.0h | 07-17 18:00 → 07-18 23:00 |
| loss | 미라(MIRA) | 61.00 | 59.01 | -3.26% | 20.8h | 07-18 00:45 → 07-18 21:30 |
| loss | 쑨(SOON) | 244.20 | 240.80 | -1.39% | 28.0h | 07-18 00:45 → 07-19 04:45 |
| loss | Theta Fuel(TFUEL) | 11.39 | 11.35 | -0.35% | 23.5h | 07-18 00:45 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | Inite(INIT) | 77.43 | 76.32 | -1.43% | 25.0h | 07-18 00:45 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Pyth Network(PYTH) | 71.75 | 70.03 | -2.40% | 41.8h | 07-18 01:00 → 07-19 18:45 |
| win | Kamino(KMNO) | 26.14 | 26.89 | +2.87% | 27.0h | 07-18 01:00 → 07-19 04:00 |
| loss | ClawdOS(COS) | 0.3595 | 0.3438 | -4.37% | 22.8h | 07-18 01:45 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | Ancient8(A8) | 7.74 | 7.57 | -2.22% | 27.2h | 07-18 02:15 → 07-19 05:30 |
| loss | 토카막네트워크(TOKAMAK) | 519.50 | 515.50 | -0.77% | 27.5h | 07-18 02:30 → 07-19 06:00 |
| loss | 유에스디에스(USDS) | 1,479 | 1,475 | -0.27% | 22.5h | 07-18 03:15 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | 에이프코인(APE) | 213.20 | 207.80 | -2.53% | 25.2h | 07-18 04:00 → 07-19 05:15 |
| win | 마이네이버앨리스(ALICE) | 169.20 | 173.80 | +2.72% | 40.0h | 07-18 04:30 → 07-19 20:30 |
| win | Status(SNT) | 10.47 | 10.49 | +0.19% | 15.2h | 07-18 09:15 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | Vulcan Forged(PYR) | 168.20 | 166.80 | -0.83% | 13.2h | 07-18 11:45 → 07-19 01:00 |
| loss | Filecoin(FIL) | 1,115 | 1,089 | -2.33% | 12.5h | 07-18 12:30 → 07-19 01:00 |
| win | 스시스왑(SUSHI) | 236.20 | 237.80 | +0.68% | 19.5h | 07-18 13:00 → 07-19 08:30 |
| win | Cysic(CYS) | 445.40 | 454.50 | +2.04% | 29.8h | 07-18 14:00 → 07-19 19:45 |
| loss | Virtuals Protocol(VIRTUAL) | 917.90 | 908.10 | -1.07% | 16.8h | 07-18 15:45 → 07-19 08:30 |
| loss | B3 (Base)(B3) | 0.8068 | 0.7988 | -0.99% | 14.8h | 07-18 15:45 → 07-19 06:30 |
| loss | 콘엑스(XPLA) | 7.06 | 7.05 | -0.03% | 8.0h | 07-18 16:00 → 07-19 00:00 |
| loss | Aerodrome Finance(AERO) | 692.70 | 668.30 | -3.52% | 5.0h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-18 21:15 |
| loss | 메티스다오(METIS) | 4,065 | 4,054 | -0.27% | 15.5h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-19 07:45 |
| loss | Arkham(ARKM) | 158.20 | 157.80 | -0.25% | 9.5h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Batic(BAT) | 116.10 | 114.90 | -1.03% | 6.8h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-18 23:00 |
| win | Bitrue Coin(BTR) | 23.53 | 24.93 | +5.95% | 12.0h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-19 04:15 |
| win | NEAR Protocol(NEAR) | 2,825 | 2,828 | +0.11% | 10.2h | 07-18 16:15 → 07-19 02:30 |
| loss | 블루핀(BLUE) | 13.43 | 13.34 | -0.67% | 26.8h | 07-18 16:30 → 07-19 19:15 |
| loss | Avalon(AVL) | 31.88 | 30.84 | -3.26% | 21.8h | 07-18 16:45 → 07-19 14:30 |
| loss | Axie Infinity(AXS) | 1,366 | 1,359 | -0.51% | 4.5h | 07-18 17:00 → 07-18 21:30 |
| loss | ZetaChain(ZETA) | 50.89 | 49.92 | -1.91% | 26.5h | 07-18 17:00 → 07-19 19:30 |
| win | Shentu(CTK) | 146.10 | 146.90 | +0.55% | 13.8h | 07-18 17:00 → 07-19 06:45 |
| win | 웨이브(WAVES) | 370.40 | 375.60 | +1.40% | 7.5h | 07-18 17:30 → 07-19 01:00 |
| win | IQ6900 [OLD](IQ) | 1.08 | 1.09 | +0.46% | 7.8h | 07-18 18:00 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Medibloc(MED) | 2.09 | 2.09 | -0.19% | 4.8h | 07-18 18:15 → 07-18 23:00 |
| loss | Artificial Superintelligence Alliance(FET) | 231.20 | 229.80 | -0.61% | 6.0h | 07-18 18:30 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | 카이토(KAITO) | 1,220 | 1,175 | -3.69% | 9.0h | 07-18 18:45 → 07-19 03:45 |
| loss | Manta Network(MANTA) | 91.87 | 91.53 | -0.37% | 5.2h | 07-18 18:45 → 07-19 00:00 |
| loss | Renzo(REZ) | 3.45 | 3.42 | -0.75% | 2.5h | 07-18 19:00 → 07-18 21:30 |
| win | 브렛(BRETT) | 7.45 | 7.51 | +0.87% | 11.5h | 07-18 19:15 → 07-19 06:45 |
| loss | cat in a dogs world(MEW) | 0.5329 | 0.5259 | -1.31% | 2.8h | 07-18 19:15 → 07-18 22:00 |
| loss | Fabric Protocol(ROBO) | 17.13 | 17.06 | -0.41% | 2.5h | 07-18 19:30 → 07-18 22:00 |
| loss | 바빌론(BABY) | 18.44 | 18.41 | -0.16% | 1.8h | 07-18 19:30 → 07-18 21:15 |
| loss | Balance(EPT) | 0.6319 | 0.6195 | -1.96% | 5.5h | 07-18 19:30 → 07-19 01:00 |
| loss | Jupiter Project(JUP) | 287.30 | 285.70 | -0.56% | 4.0h | 07-18 19:30 → 07-18 23:30 |
| loss | xcDOT(DOT) | 1,238 | 1,234 | -0.32% | 3.0h | 07-18 19:45 → 07-18 22:45 |
| loss | 앰프(AMP) | 0.6236 | 0.5996 | -3.85% | 20.5h | 07-18 19:45 → 07-19 16:15 |
| win | Wayfinder(PROMPT) | 28.25 | 28.26 | +0.04% | 1.5h | 07-18 19:45 → 07-18 21:15 |
| win | MAGA(TRUMP) | 2,486 | 2,489 | +0.12% | 2.2h | 07-18 19:45 → 07-18 22:00 |
| loss | 터보(TURBO) | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.75% | 4.2h | 07-18 20:15 → 07-19 00:30 |
| win | Orbiter Finance(OBT) | 0.4659 | 0.4699 | +0.86% | 3.5h | 07-18 20:15 → 07-18 23:45 |
| loss | TRAC (Ordinals)(TRAC) | 384.40 | 382.60 | -0.47% | 2.2h | 07-18 20:15 → 07-18 22:30 |
| loss | Cookie DAO(COOKIE) | 12.34 | 12.22 | -0.97% | 2.8h | 07-18 20:15 → 07-18 23:00 |
| loss | Lombard(BARD) | 180.20 | 177.80 | -1.33% | 4.2h | 07-18 20:15 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | 팝캣(POPCAT) | 62.66 | 62.06 | -0.96% | 3.8h | 07-18 20:30 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | Starknet(STRK) | 40.73 | 40.72 | -0.02% | 1.2h | 07-18 20:45 → 07-18 22:00 |
| win | 모포(MORPHO) | 2,897 | 2,936 | +1.35% | 2.0h | 07-18 20:45 → 07-18 22:45 |
| loss | Jito(JTO) | 804.80 | 795.20 | -1.19% | 0.5h | 07-18 21:00 → 07-18 21:30 |
| loss | AhaToken(AHT) | 1.51 | 1.49 | -1.59% | 0.2h | 07-18 21:00 → 07-18 21:15 |
| win | Fusotao(TAO) | 280,981 | 286,913 | +2.11% | 11.2h | 07-18 21:15 → 07-19 08:30 |
| win | 그래스(GRASS) | 514.50 | 527.50 | +2.53% | 18.5h | 07-18 21:15 → 07-19 15:45 |
| win | 바빌론(BABY) | 18.41 | 18.52 | +0.60% | 1.0h | 07-18 21:30 → 07-18 22:30 |
| loss | HumidiFi(WET) | 97.22 | 93.53 | -3.80% | 2.2h | 07-18 21:30 → 07-18 23:45 |
| win | 오픈에덴(EDEN) | 60.21 | 60.48 | +0.45% | 3.2h | 07-18 21:30 → 07-19 00:45 |
| loss | Theta Network(THETA) | 205.20 | 202.80 | -1.17% | 3.5h | 07-18 21:30 → 07-19 01:00 |
| win | Synthetix(SNX) | 323.30 | 327.70 | +1.36% | 6.0h | 07-18 21:30 → 07-19 03:30 |
| loss | Six Sigma(SIX) | 7.33 | 7.32 | -0.19% | 0.5h | 07-18 21:45 → 07-18 22:15 |
| win | Origin Token(OGN) | 25.00 | 25.04 | +0.16% | 9.0h | 07-18 21:45 → 07-19 06:45 |
| loss | Aptos(APT) | 891.90 | 886.10 | -0.65% | 0.5h | 07-18 21:45 → 07-18 22:15 |
| win | 조라(ZORA) | 9.12 | 9.24 | +1.34% | 11.5h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 09:30 |
| win | Legacy Frax Dollar(FRAX) | 385.40 | 385.60 | +0.05% | 12.0h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 10:00 |
| loss | 갈라(GALA) | 3.04 | 3.00 | -1.28% | 3.8h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | INFINIT(IN) | 63.89 | 63.60 | -0.45% | 17.2h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 15:15 |
| loss | LeisureMeta(LM) | 0.8144 | 0.8144 | +0.00% | 3.2h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 01:15 |
| loss | cat in a dogs world(MEW) | 0.5314 | 0.5273 | -0.77% | 2.2h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | Moo Deng(MOODENG) | 55.49 | 55.03 | -0.83% | 2.2h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | 타운즈(TOWNS) | 3.12 | 3.02 | -3.17% | 8.2h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-19 06:15 |
| loss | MAGA(TRUMP) | 2,490 | 2,428 | -2.49% | 0.5h | 07-18 22:00 → 07-18 22:30 |
| win | Axie Infinity(AXS) | 1,362 | 1,368 | +0.44% | 0.5h | 07-18 22:15 → 07-18 22:45 |
| win | 리콜(RECALL) | 54.04 | 54.75 | +1.31% | 1.8h | 07-18 22:30 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | Arbitrum(ARB) | 132.10 | 127.90 | -3.18% | 12.5h | 07-18 22:30 → 07-19 11:00 |
| loss | 웜홀(W) | 13.67 | 13.62 | -0.37% | 0.5h | 07-18 22:30 → 07-18 23:00 |
| win | TRAC (Ordinals)(TRAC) | 383.40 | 388.60 | +1.36% | 3.0h | 07-18 22:45 → 07-19 01:45 |
| win | Aethir(ATH) | 6.33 | 6.61 | +4.47% | 16.2h | 07-18 22:45 → 07-19 15:00 |
| win | Wayfinder(PROMPT) | 27.84 | 28.10 | +0.93% | 6.2h | 07-18 23:00 → 07-19 05:15 |
| loss | 미라(MIRA) | 59.07 | 58.75 | -0.54% | 1.5h | 07-18 23:00 → 07-19 00:30 |
| win | Aerodrome Finance(AERO) | 663.70 | 664.30 | +0.09% | 9.2h | 07-18 23:00 → 07-19 08:15 |
| win | Casper Network(CSPR) | 2.71 | 2.71 | +0.07% | 2.0h | 07-18 23:00 → 07-19 01:00 |
| loss | 웜홀(W) | 13.67 | 13.67 | +0.00% | 2.0h | 07-18 23:00 → 07-19 01:00 |
| loss | Batic(BAT) | 115.10 | 113.90 | -1.04% | 1.2h | 07-18 23:15 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | Gravity (by Galxe)(G) | 4.87 | 4.83 | -0.88% | 0.5h | 07-18 23:30 → 07-19 00:00 |
| loss | xcDOT(DOT) | 1,233 | 1,230 | -0.24% | 2.0h | 07-18 23:45 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Six Sigma(SIX) | 7.36 | 7.32 | -0.44% | 8.8h | 07-18 23:45 → 07-19 08:30 |
| loss | Orbiter Finance(OBT) | 0.4719 | 0.4558 | -3.41% | 0.2h | 07-18 23:45 → 07-19 00:00 |
| win | HumidiFi(WET) | 94.04 | 98.12 | +4.34% | 4.8h | 07-18 23:45 → 07-19 04:30 |
| loss | 소닉에스브이엠(SONIC) | 33.68 | 33.59 | -0.27% | 0.5h | 07-18 23:45 → 07-19 00:15 |
| loss | Pocket Network(POKT) | 11.83 | 11.71 | -1.01% | 0.2h | 07-19 00:15 → 07-19 00:30 |
| loss | 콘엑스(XPLA) | 7.11 | 7.09 | -0.20% | 14.5h | 07-19 00:15 → 07-19 14:45 |
| win | Wrapped NCG(WNCG) | 6.88 | 6.97 | +1.31% | 10.0h | 07-19 00:15 → 07-19 10:15 |
| win | Gnosis(GNO) | 164,564 | 164,635 | +0.04% | 0.8h | 07-19 00:15 → 07-19 01:00 |
| loss | Fabric Protocol(ROBO) | 16.57 | 16.37 | -1.21% | 1.5h | 07-19 00:15 → 07-19 01:45 |
| win | 퍼퍼(PUFFER) | 18.41 | 18.42 | +0.05% | 1.2h | 07-19 00:30 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | ThetaDrop(TDROP) | 0.5899 | 0.5887 | -0.20% | 0.5h | 07-19 00:30 → 07-19 01:00 |
| win | ZKsync(ZK) | 13.49 | 13.83 | +2.52% | 7.5h | 07-19 00:30 → 07-19 08:00 |
| win | 오르카(ORCA) | 1,703 | 1,712 | +0.53% | 1.2h | 07-19 00:30 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | 바빌론(BABY) | 18.51 | 18.42 | -0.49% | 1.0h | 07-19 00:45 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Meteora(MET) | 200.20 | 198.80 | -0.70% | 1.0h | 07-19 00:45 → 07-19 01:45 |
| loss | Pocket Network(POKT) | 11.63 | 11.52 | -0.95% | 0.5h | 07-19 00:45 → 07-19 01:15 |
| loss | Balance(EPT) | 0.6204 | 0.6153 | -0.82% | 1.5h | 07-19 01:00 → 07-19 02:30 |
| win | Theta Network(THETA) | 203.20 | 203.80 | +0.30% | 1.5h | 07-19 01:00 → 07-19 02:30 |
| win | Gravity (by Galxe)(G) | 4.81 | 4.89 | +1.71% | 3.2h | 07-19 01:00 → 07-19 04:15 |
| loss | Gnosis(GNO) | 164,965 | 163,436 | -0.93% | 1.2h | 07-19 01:00 → 07-19 02:15 |
| win | 터보(TURBO) | 1.19 | 1.19 | +0.17% | 14.8h | 07-19 01:15 → 07-19 16:00 |
| win | Pocket Network(POKT) | 11.54 | 11.65 | +0.95% | 0.5h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 02:15 |
| loss | TDEX Token(TT) | 0.9246 | 0.9232 | -0.15% | 3.8h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 05:30 |
| win | Euler(EUL) | 1,398 | 1,403 | +0.36% | 2.8h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 04:30 |
| loss | Theta Fuel(TFUEL) | 11.37 | 11.35 | -0.18% | 1.2h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 03:00 |
| loss | ThetaDrop(TDROP) | 0.5899 | 0.5892 | -0.12% | 2.5h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 04:15 |
| win | 팝캣(POPCAT) | 62.20 | 62.81 | +0.98% | 13.0h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 14:45 |
| loss | Livepeer(LPT) | 2,191 | 2,185 | -0.27% | 6.0h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 07:45 |
| loss | Animecoin(ANIME) | 3.85 | 3.84 | -0.10% | 1.5h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 03:15 |
| win | Chromia(CHR) | 21.96 | 22.17 | +0.96% | 4.8h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 06:30 |
| loss | Slimex(SLX) | 159.20 | 153.80 | -3.39% | 8.5h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 10:15 |
| win | AI PIN(AI) | 33.81 | 34.55 | +2.19% | 8.8h | 07-19 01:45 → 07-19 10:30 |
As of 2026-07-19 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)