2026-07-22 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 69 closed trades, win rate 30.4%, expectancy +0.02% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.05 · avg win +1.10% vs avg loss -0.46% (R:R 2.39).
- Best +5.60% / worst -2.53% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 69 (21W / 48L) |
| Win rate | 30.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.02% |
| Profit factor | 1.05 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.10% / -0.46% |
| Best / worst | +5.60% / -2.53% |
Recap
The day saw a moderate volume of closed trades, totaling 69 executions. The overall performance metrics indicate a positive expectancy of +0.02% per trade, supported by a profit factor of 1.05. The average winning trade generated a gain of 1.10%, which was substantially larger than the average loss of -0.46%. Notable positive outcomes included gains in SWKS (+5.60%) and RVTY (+3.27%), providing some uplifting moments today 
. Conversely, the losses were anchored by positions such as EXPE (-2.53%) and PAYX (-2.34%), which represented the deeper drawdowns observed.
Lessons from the Results
The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that while the system captured some excellent opportunities, the losses incurred were proportionally larger relative to the wins. The notable losses, particularly those in EXPE and MSCI, highlight instances where the initial thesis or the market’s immediate reaction proved challenging to navigate successfully. These outcomes underscore the importance of managing the magnitude of downside risk across multiple trades, even when the overall expectancy remains positive 
.
Observations
The breadth of the results, spanning from a best performance of +5.60% to a worst of -2.53%, shows the inherent variability within the US equity landscape. The fact that the win rate settled at 30.4% suggests that capturing profitable setups requires patience, as the majority of trades did not realize a positive return. It is simply a reflection of the market’s current mixed signals 
.
This research note is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
69 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 43 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Microsoft Corporation(MSFT) | 392.40 | 397.60 | +1.33% | 98.3h | 07-17 23:15 → 07-22 01:35 |
| loss | Expedia Group, Inc.(EXPE) | 268.50 | 261.70 | -2.53% | 96.7h | 07-18 03:15 → 07-22 03:55 |
| win | Analog Devices, Inc.(ADI) | 373.50 | 382.50 | +2.41% | 93.0h | 07-18 03:50 → 07-22 00:50 |
| win | NetApp, Inc.(NTAP) | 162.70 | 164.60 | +1.17% | 92.2h | 07-18 04:35 → 07-22 00:50 |
| win | Skyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS) | 59.68 | 63.02 | +5.60% | 21.6h | 07-21 03:15 → 07-22 00:50 |
| win | Revvity, Inc.(RVTY) | 107.00 | 110.50 | +3.27% | 20.2h | 07-21 03:50 → 07-22 00:00 |
| win | West Pharmaceutical Services, I(WST) | 354.20 | 356.80 | +0.73% | 19.1h | 07-21 04:15 → 07-21 23:20 |
| loss | Paychex, Inc.(PAYX) | 115.20 | 112.50 | -2.34% | 22.2h | 07-21 04:15 → 07-22 02:30 |
| win | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp(HPE) | 45.32 | 46.64 | +2.91% | 22.2h | 07-21 04:15 → 07-22 02:25 |
| win | Oracle Corporation(ORCL) | 122.70 | 124.70 | +1.63% | 18.9h | 07-21 04:25 → 07-21 23:20 |
| win | Cisco Systems, Inc.(CSCO) | 111.30 | 111.50 | +0.18% | 18.7h | 07-21 04:40 → 07-21 23:20 |
| loss | Micron Technology, Inc.(MU) | 866.80 | 865.10 | -0.20% | 17.8h | 07-21 04:50 → 07-21 22:35 |
| loss | W.W. Grainger, Inc.(GWW) | 1,368 | 1,350 | -1.32% | 20.0h | 07-21 04:50 → 07-22 00:50 |
| win | Boeing Company (The)(BA) | 210.00 | 210.20 | +0.10% | 19.1h | 07-21 04:55 → 07-22 00:00 |
| loss | Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio(EW) | 85.14 | 84.96 | -0.21% | 17.7h | 07-21 04:55 → 07-21 22:35 |
| loss | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.(GEHC) | 63.22 | 62.93 | -0.46% | 19.1h | 07-21 04:55 → 07-22 00:00 |
| win | Insulet Corporation(PODD) | 164.10 | 164.60 | +0.30% | 1.3h | 07-22 00:50 → 07-22 02:10 |
| loss | ServiceNow, Inc.(NOW) | 102.60 | 101.30 | -1.27% | 1.7h | 07-22 00:50 → 07-22 02:30 |
| loss | Brown & Brown, Inc.(BRO) | 66.63 | 66.59 | -0.06% | 1.8h | 07-22 00:50 → 07-22 02:40 |
| loss | CMS Energy Corporation(CMS) | 72.05 | 71.99 | -0.08% | 0.6h | 07-22 00:50 → 07-22 01:25 |
| loss | Charles River Laboratories Inte(CRL) | 220.10 | 217.50 | -1.18% | 1.8h | 07-22 00:50 → 07-22 02:40 |
| loss | Qnity Electronics, Inc.(Q) | 138.80 | 138.40 | -0.29% | 3.0h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 03:55 |
| loss | Walt Disney Company (The)(DIS) | 96.40 | 96.25 | -0.16% | 1.4h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 02:20 |
| loss | IDEXX Laboratories, Inc.(IDXX) | 556.20 | 553.40 | -0.50% | 2.4h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 03:20 |
| loss | Mosaic Company (The)(MOS) | 22.20 | 21.97 | -1.04% | 1.2h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 02:10 |
| loss | Smurfit WestRock plc(SW) | 43.36 | 43.09 | -0.62% | 3.8h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 04:45 |
| win | Genuine Parts Company(GPC) | 115.30 | 117.60 | +1.99% | 1.4h | 07-22 01:15 → 07-22 02:40 |
| loss | Garmin Ltd.(GRMN) | 242.80 | 241.60 | -0.49% | 0.6h | 07-22 01:25 → 07-22 02:00 |
| loss | Netflix, Inc.(NFLX) | 66.94 | 66.85 | -0.13% | 0.6h | 07-22 01:25 → 07-22 02:00 |
| loss | CMS Energy Corporation(CMS) | 72.13 | 71.96 | -0.24% | 0.5h | 07-22 02:10 → 07-22 02:40 |
| loss | MSCI Inc.(MSCI) | 573.90 | 562.20 | -2.04% | 1.2h | 07-22 02:20 → 07-22 03:35 |
| loss | Micron Technology, Inc.(MU) | 978.20 | 974.40 | -0.39% | 1.5h | 07-22 02:25 → 07-22 03:55 |
| win | Eversource Energy (D/B/A)(ES) | 72.91 | 72.96 | +0.07% | 0.5h | 07-22 02:30 → 07-22 03:00 |
| win | Gartner, Inc.(IT) | 134.30 | 134.60 | +0.22% | 2.2h | 07-22 02:30 → 07-22 04:45 |
| win | Pinnacle West Capital Corporati(PNW) | 105.40 | 105.50 | +0.09% | 0.7h | 07-22 02:30 → 07-22 03:10 |
| win | Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.(LYV) | 176.40 | 177.30 | +0.51% | 1.1h | 07-22 02:50 → 07-22 03:55 |
| loss | Nucor Corporation(NUE) | 233.90 | 232.60 | -0.56% | 1.4h | 07-22 03:20 → 07-22 04:45 |
| win | Home Depot, Inc. (The)(HD) | 331.00 | 331.30 | +0.09% | 1.4h | 07-22 03:35 → 07-22 05:00 |
| loss | Paychex, Inc.(PAYX) | 112.80 | 112.40 | -0.35% | 0.8h | 07-22 03:45 → 07-22 04:35 |
| win | Motorola Solutions, Inc.(MSI) | 404.90 | 405.30 | +0.10% | 0.8h | 07-22 03:55 → 07-22 04:45 |
| win | Ralph Lauren Corporation(RL) | 382.00 | 382.20 | +0.05% | 1.1h | 07-22 03:55 → 07-22 05:00 |
| loss | Cardinal Health, Inc.(CAH) | 226.20 | 226.20 | +0.00% | 0.6h | 07-22 04:10 → 07-22 04:45 |
| loss | Parker-Hannifin Corporation(PH) | 964.40 | 957.80 | -0.68% | 0.8h | 07-22 04:10 → 07-22 05:00 |
As of 2026-07-22 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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