2026-07-09 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
⚠️ Correction (2026-07-16): A simulation data defect affecting 2026-07-08 through 07-15 was found, and this journal has been corrected and republished. A signal-persistence failure caused entries to be recorded at stale signal prices instead of live market prices, producing simulated trades at prices and returns that could not have existed in the market. The defective trades have been quarantined from the ledger and the engine has been repaired. This republished version reflects verified, valid trades only.
Key takeaways
- 25 closed trades, win rate 44.0%, expectancy +0.28% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.34 · avg win +2.54% vs avg loss -1.49% (R:R 1.70).
- Best +8.87% / worst -3.81% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
- Paper-trading simulation, not investment advice.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 25 (11W / 14L) |
| Win rate | 44.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.28% |
| Profit factor | 1.34 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.54% / -1.49% |
| Best / worst | +8.87% / -3.81% |
Recap
The day saw 25 closed trades, resulting in a win rate of 44.0% and an overall expectancy of +0.28% per trade. The average winning trade generated a gain of 2.54%, which was notably larger than the average loss of -1.49%. The best single outcome recorded was on ZRC at +8.87%, and the largest drawdown was observed on AVAIL at -3.81%. Observing the notable wins, the gains on OGN and MANA suggest some positive directional conviction held through the closing period 
.
Observations
The spread between the average win and average loss indicates that while winning trades were generally more substantial than losing ones, the frequency of losses kept the overall positive expectancy modest. The performance metrics suggest that capturing larger gains on select assets, such as ZRC, provided a solid lift to the overall PnL, even when offset by several smaller negative outcomes.
Lessons from Outcomes
The trades that concluded at a loss, specifically those on AVAIL, PARTI, and REQ, highlighted instances where the initial directional thesis did not sustain through the full cycle. These instances underscore the importance of respecting the magnitude of drawdowns; the losses were consistent in their negative range, suggesting that when initial momentum stalls, the risk profile warrants closer attention 
.
This research note reflects the outcomes of simulated paper trading activity and does not constitute investment advice.
Closed trades (chronological)
25 trades closed today. Excluding micro-scalps, 25 meaningful trades (held 30m+ or P&L ±1%+), earliest entry first.
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Decentraland(MANA) | 102.10 | 105.90 | +3.72% | 52.0h | 07-06 23:30 → 07-09 03:30 |
| loss | Request(REQ) | 81.78 | 79.15 | -3.22% | 45.2h | 07-07 03:15 → 07-09 00:30 |
| loss | dKargo(DKA) | 5.96 | 5.89 | -1.16% | 50.0h | 07-07 10:00 → 07-09 12:00 |
| loss | 어베일(AVAIL) | 4.38 | 4.21 | -3.81% | 37.2h | 07-07 10:45 → 07-09 00:00 |
| loss | Particle Network(PARTI) | 69.96 | 67.65 | -3.30% | 30.2h | 07-07 16:15 → 07-08 22:30 |
| loss | Kyber Network Crystal(KNC) | 163.20 | 159.80 | -2.08% | 35.5h | 07-08 00:30 → 07-09 12:00 |
| loss | Chromia(CHR) | 21.23 | 21.22 | -0.05% | 23.5h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 11:00 |
| loss | ZetaChain(ZETA) | 51.03 | 51.03 | +0.00% | 33.0h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 20:30 |
| win | Avalon(AVL) | 32.64 | 32.89 | +0.77% | 13.0h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 00:30 |
| loss | B3 (Base)(B3) | 0.709 | 0.7009 | -1.14% | 24.5h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 12:00 |
| win | Origin Token(OGN) | 24.45 | 26.47 | +8.26% | 17.0h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 04:30 |
| loss | Renzo(REZ) | 4.05 | 4.00 | -1.26% | 24.5h | 07-08 11:30 → 07-09 12:00 |
| win | 쑨(SOON) | 249.20 | 249.80 | +0.24% | 10.2h | 07-08 12:15 → 07-08 22:30 |
| loss | 사이버(CYBER) | 518.50 | 515.50 | -0.58% | 23.8h | 07-08 12:15 → 07-09 12:00 |
| loss | Ethereum Name Service(ENS) | 6,071 | 6,044 | -0.44% | 23.8h | 07-08 12:15 → 07-09 12:00 |
| win | 저킷(ZRC) | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.07% | 18.8h | 07-08 12:15 → 07-09 07:00 |
| loss | Moo Deng(MOODENG) | 58.59 | 57.90 | -1.18% | 18.5h | 07-08 17:30 → 07-09 12:00 |
| loss | 웨이브(WAVES) | 385.40 | 380.60 | -1.25% | 17.8h | 07-08 18:15 → 07-09 12:00 |
| loss | 쑨(SOON) | 249.20 | 245.80 | -1.36% | 13.5h | 07-08 22:30 → 07-09 12:00 |
| win | Avalon(AVL) | 32.33 | 32.54 | +0.65% | 7.5h | 07-09 00:45 → 07-09 08:15 |
| win | 저킷(ZRC) | 1.40 | 1.52 | +8.87% | 12.0h | 07-09 07:00 → 07-09 19:00 |
| win | Avalon(AVL) | 32.33 | 32.37 | +0.12% | 4.2h | 07-09 08:30 → 07-09 12:45 |
| win | 엑셀라(WAXL) | 60.55 | 61.34 | +1.30% | 5.8h | 07-09 12:00 → 07-09 17:45 |
| win | Delysium(AGI) | 6.04 | 6.13 | +1.46% | 8.8h | 07-09 12:00 → 07-09 20:45 |
| win | Vulcan Forged(PYR) | 185.20 | 189.80 | +2.48% | 5.0h | 07-09 12:00 → 07-09 17:00 |
As of 2026-07-09 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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