2026-07-23 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 212 closed trades, win rate 17.9%, expectancy -0.26% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.35 · avg win +0.80% vs avg loss -0.50% (R:R 1.60).
- Best +3.51% / worst -3.82% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 212 (38W / 174L) |
| Win rate | 17.9% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.26% |
| Profit factor | 0.35 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +0.80% / -0.50% |
| Best / worst | +3.51% / -3.82% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome across the portfolio. Out of the 212 trades closed, the overall win rate was 17.9%. The average expected return per trade was negative at -0.26%, suggesting that the losses tended to outweigh the gains on a per-trade basis. The profit factor registered at 0.35, indicating that the total gross profit was less than one-third of the total gross loss. Notable positive returns were seen in NFLX (+3.51%), BF-B (+3.14%), and FSLR (+3.02%). Conversely, the largest losses were recorded in AXON (-3.82%), CSGP (-3.46%), and NOW (-3.37%).
Observations
The performance metrics suggest that while some individual trades captured meaningful upside, the frequency and magnitude of the losses pulled the aggregate results downward. The average winning trade (+0.80%) was substantially smaller in magnitude than the average losing trade (-0.50%), which contributed to the negative expectancy. The depth of the drawdowns, exemplified by the -3.82% loss in AXON, indicates that exposure to certain names resulted in significant capital erosion today
.
For next time
The trades that resulted in the largest losses, such as those in AXON, CSGP, and NOW, highlight instances where the downside risk materialized significantly. These outcomes suggest that the underlying market conditions or sector-specific pressures were strong enough to overcome the initial directional bias established for those names. The pattern observed is that when the market sentiment shifts sharply against a held position, the rate of decline can be substantial, leading to a notable drag on overall performance
.
This research note reflects a paper-trading simulation and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Netflix, Inc.(NFLX) | 67.79 | 70.17 | +3.51% | 19.9h | 07-22 04:10 → 07-23 00:05 |
| win | Brown Forman Inc(BF-B) | 25.82 | 26.63 | +3.14% | 115.2h | 07-18 03:20 → 07-22 22:35 |
| win | First Solar, Inc.(FSLR) | 205.30 | 211.50 | +3.02% | 20.2h | 07-22 05:00 → 07-23 01:10 |
| win | CoStar Group, Inc.(CSGP) | 27.69 | 28.13 | +1.59% | 3.2h | 07-22 23:45 → 07-23 02:55 |
| win | Charter Communications, Inc.(CHTR) | 126.50 | 128.50 | +1.58% | 0.9h | 07-22 23:55 → 07-23 00:50 |
| loss | Axon Enterprise, Inc.(AXON) | 521.60 | 501.70 | -3.82% | 22.2h | 07-22 00:55 → 07-22 23:10 |
| loss | CoStar Group, Inc.(CSGP) | 28.62 | 27.63 | -3.46% | 20.6h | 07-22 03:00 → 07-22 23:35 |
| loss | ServiceNow, Inc.(NOW) | 102.10 | 98.66 | -3.37% | 17.8h | 07-22 04:45 → 07-22 22:35 |
| loss | Uber Technologies, Inc.(UBER) | 72.67 | 70.36 | -3.18% | 117.0h | 07-18 02:35 → 07-22 23:35 |
| loss | Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) | 133.10 | 128.90 | -3.16% | 18.0h | 07-22 04:35 → 07-22 22:35 |
Full data — all 212 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-23 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)