2026-07-24 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 195 closed trades, win rate 28.7%, expectancy -0.30% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.43 · avg win +0.78% vs avg loss -0.73% (R:R 1.07).
- Best +7.50% / worst -3.58% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 195 (56W / 139L) |
| Win rate | 28.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.30% |
| Profit factor | 0.43 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +0.78% / -0.73% |
| Best / worst | +7.50% / -3.58% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome. Out of the 195 trades concluded, the win rate settled at 28.7%. The average profit realized on winning trades was +0.78%, contrasting with an average loss of -0.73% on losing trades. The overall expectancy for the closed trades was negative at -0.30% per trade. Notable positive returns included IQVIA Holdings, Inc. (+7.50%) and Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (+4.03%). Conversely, the largest losses were recorded in General Motors Company (-3.58%) and Microchip Technology Incorporat (-3.55%). 
Observations
The disparity between the average win size and the average loss size suggests that while profitable trades occurred, the magnitude of the losses tended to temper the overall positive impact. The profit factor of 0.43 indicates that the total gains were less than half the total losses across the closed set. The performance highlights instances where larger gains were achieved, such as the +7.50% on IQV, but these were offset by several notable drawdowns. 
For next time
The trades resulting in losses, particularly those involving GM and MCHP, underscore the difficulty in maintaining positive expected value when the loss frequency is high relative to the average gain. The data suggests that the frequency of negative outcomes, even when the average win is positive, can drag the overall performance significantly. 
This research note reflects a simulation of historical trading outcomes and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | IQVIA Holdings, Inc.(IQV) | 199.90 | 214.90 | +7.50% | 18.0h | 07-23 04:35 → 07-23 22:35 |
| win | Comfort Systems USA, Inc.(FIX) | 1,788 | 1,860 | +4.03% | 45.6h | 07-22 02:20 → 07-23 23:55 |
| win | Leidos Holdings, Inc.(LDOS) | 107.10 | 110.80 | +3.45% | 20.2h | 07-23 03:35 → 07-23 23:45 |
| win | Public Service Enterprise Group(PEG) | 77.46 | 79.72 | +2.92% | 44.2h | 07-22 04:45 → 07-24 00:55 |
| win | Steel Dynamics, Inc.(STLD) | 235.00 | 241.20 | +2.64% | 162.8h | 07-17 05:00 → 07-23 23:45 |
| loss | General Motors Company(GM) | 82.16 | 79.22 | -3.58% | 19.8h | 07-23 04:00 → 07-23 23:45 |
| loss | Microchip Technology Incorporat(MCHP) | 85.16 | 82.14 | -3.55% | 17.5h | 07-23 05:05 → 07-23 22:35 |
| loss | Charter Communications, Inc.(CHTR) | 129.80 | 125.50 | -3.31% | 19.4h | 07-23 04:55 → 07-24 00:20 |
| loss | Applovin Corporation(APP) | 413.60 | 400.00 | -3.29% | 18.8h | 07-23 04:55 → 07-23 23:45 |
| loss | Gen Digital Inc.(GEN) | 25.87 | 25.02 | -3.29% | 24.4h | 07-22 23:30 → 07-23 23:55 |
Full data — all 195 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-24 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)