2026-07-25 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 1351 closed trades, win rate 32.3%, expectancy -0.33% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.57 · avg win +1.34% vs avg loss -1.13% (R:R 1.19).
- Best +20.13% / worst -12.25% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 1351 (437W / 914L) |
| Win rate | 32.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.33% |
| Profit factor | 0.57 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.34% / -1.13% |
| Best / worst | +20.13% / -12.25% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a challenging risk profile. With a win rate at 32.3% and a negative expectancy of -0.33% per trade, the overall performance suggests that the average loss magnitude is currently outweighing the average gain. The profit factor of 0.57 indicates that the total amount lost exceeds the total amount gained. While notable gains were recorded, such as the +20.13% on XPLA and the +9.99% on ACE, these were counterbalanced by several significant drawdowns, including -6.66% on RSS3 and -6.36% on CAP. The spread between the best outcome (+20.13%) and the worst outcome (-12.25%) highlights the substantial volatility encountered across the sampled assets. 
Observations from Drawdowns
The losses observed on RSS3, CAP, and GRASS suggest that when directional conviction is not strongly supported by subsequent price action, the downside exposure can materialize quickly. The consistency of the negative average loss (-1.13%) relative to the average win (+1.34%) suggests that the risk taken on losing trades is not being adequately mitigated by the size or frequency of the winning trades. This pattern points toward a need to re-evaluate the risk sizing relative to the observed volatility regime.
For Next Time
The data indicates that while large positive outliers are possible, the current structure of the closed trades is weighted toward negative expectation. The observed spread between the best and worst outcomes suggests that the market environment is exhibiting significant divergence, making consistent positive expectancy difficult to maintain under the current parameters.
This research note is for analytical observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 콘엑스(XPLA) | 6.99 | 8.40 | +20.13% | 13.8h | 07-24 10:15 → 07-25 00:00 |
| win | Fusionist(ACE) | 118.10 | 129.90 | +9.99% | 10.2h | 07-24 14:30 → 07-25 00:45 |
| win | Vulcan Forged(PYR) | 115.10 | 120.90 | +5.04% | 4.5h | 07-24 20:15 → 07-25 00:45 |
| win | Yield Basis(YB) | 105.10 | 109.90 | +4.57% | 44.5h | 07-24 00:00 → 07-25 20:30 |
| win | 폰케(PONKE) | 27.38 | 28.62 | +4.53% | 3.8h | 07-24 20:30 → 07-25 00:15 |
| loss | 알에스에스쓰리(RSS3) | 6.99 | 6.53 | -6.66% | 9.8h | 07-24 18:00 → 07-25 03:45 |
| loss | 캡(CAP) | 40.86 | 38.26 | -6.36% | 1.0h | 07-24 22:00 → 07-24 23:00 |
| loss | 그래스(GRASS) | 516.50 | 487.50 | -5.61% | 18.2h | 07-24 05:00 → 07-24 23:15 |
| loss | Bubblemaps(BMT) | 18.16 | 17.33 | -4.57% | 14.8h | 07-24 07:15 → 07-24 22:00 |
| loss | 자마(ZAMA) | 77.21 | 73.79 | -4.43% | 1.0h | 07-24 20:30 → 07-24 21:30 |
Full data — all 1351 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)