2026-07-25 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 74 closed trades, win rate 36.5%, expectancy -0.14% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.79 · avg win +1.51% vs avg loss -1.09% (R:R 1.39).
- Best +6.88% / worst -9.36% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 74 (27W / 47L) |
| Win rate | 36.5% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.14% |
| Profit factor | 0.79 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.51% / -1.09% |
| Best / worst | +6.88% / -9.36% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed performance across the reviewed trades. Out of the 74 transactions closed, the win rate settled at 36.5%. The average expected return per trade was negative at -0.14%, with the profit factor registering at 0.79. The average winning trade yielded a gain of 1.51%, contrasting with an average loss of 1.09%. The range of outcomes was significant, with the best recorded gain being +6.88% and the worst loss reaching -9.36%. Notable positive outcomes included gains in Gartner, Inc. (+6.88%), GoDaddy Inc. (+5.29%), and Cognizant Technology Solutions (+4.58%). Conversely, the losses were marked by Coherent Corp. (-9.36%), Deckers Outdoor Corporation (-5.77%), and Charter Communications, Inc. (-5.09%). 
Lessons from Outcomes
The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that while some profitable trades were executed, the magnitude of the losses was sufficient to pull the overall expectancy into negative territory. The depth of the negative outcomes, such as the -9.36% recorded loss, indicates instances where the market moved against the established positions with considerable force. These results highlight that even when identifying potential upside, the downside risk realized can significantly temper overall returns. 
For Next Time
The data set shows that the largest gains were achieved in specific sectors or names, while the losses were spread across different holdings. The negative expectancy suggests that the frequency and size of the losses are currently outweighing the gains. The observed spread between the best and worst outcomes underscores the need for careful consideration of tail risk across the portfolio structure. 
This research note represents a review of historical paper-trading activity and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Gartner, Inc.(IT) | 130.80 | 139.80 | +6.88% | 26.6h | 07-24 02:15 → 07-25 04:50 |
| win | GoDaddy Inc.(GDDY) | 87.54 | 92.17 | +5.29% | 24.4h | 07-24 02:05 → 07-25 02:30 |
| win | Cognizant Technology Solutions(CTSH) | 42.81 | 44.77 | +4.58% | 22.9h | 07-24 03:35 → 07-25 02:30 |
| win | Domino's Pizza Inc(DPZ) | 318.60 | 332.60 | +4.39% | 22.7h | 07-24 03:50 → 07-25 02:30 |
| win | Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB) | 137.20 | 141.10 | +2.84% | 21.5h | 07-24 05:00 → 07-25 02:30 |
| loss | Coherent Corp.(COHR) | 319.50 | 289.60 | -9.36% | 26.2h | 07-24 00:20 → 07-25 02:30 |
| loss | Deckers Outdoor Corporation(DECK) | 98.23 | 92.56 | -5.77% | 19.2h | 07-24 03:25 → 07-24 22:35 |
| loss | Charter Communications, Inc.(CHTR) | 125.70 | 119.30 | -5.09% | 22.0h | 07-24 00:35 → 07-24 22:35 |
| loss | West Pharmaceutical Services, I(WST) | 356.20 | 343.10 | -3.68% | 17.6h | 07-24 05:00 → 07-24 22:35 |
| loss | Ciena Corporation(CIEN) | 405.30 | 392.20 | -3.23% | 22.5h | 07-24 04:20 → 07-25 02:50 |
Full data — all 74 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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