2026-07-27 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 822 closed trades, win rate 40.3%, expectancy -0.45% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.70 · avg win +2.57% vs avg loss -2.48% (R:R 1.04).
- Best +27.57% / worst -11.38% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 822 (331W / 491L) |
| Win rate | 40.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.45% |
| Profit factor | 0.70 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.57% / -2.48% |
| Best / worst | +27.57% / -11.38% |
Recap
The session saw a high volume of closed trades, totaling 822 executions. The overall performance metrics indicate a negative expectancy of -0.45% per trade and a profit factor below 1.0, suggesting that the average loss magnitude slightly outweighs the average gain. While the best single outcome recorded a gain of +27.57% on Theoriq (THQ), the notable losses, such as SAFEbit (SAFE) at -9.72% and Euler (EUL) at -8.94%, contributed to the negative aggregate result. The disparity between the average win (+2.57%) and the average loss (-2.48%) suggests a relatively balanced risk profile across the closed set, though the overall directional bias was negative. 
Observations from Losses
The losses incurred, particularly those involving Euler (EUL) and SAFEbit (SAFE), highlight instances where momentum appeared to reverse sharply following initial movements. These outcomes suggest that the market structure was not consistently supportive of the directional bias taken, leading to rapid retracements that were difficult to manage within the observed parameters. The frequency of these negative outcomes, despite the high trade count, points to an environment where mean reversion or counter-trend movements were more prevalent than sustained directional conviction. 
For Next Time
The data reflects a challenging period where the overall risk-adjusted return was negative. The high win rate of 40.3% combined with the negative expectancy suggests that the frequency of trades was not sufficient to overcome the negative expected value per trade. The magnitude of the best outcome relative to the worst outcome remains a point of observation, indicating significant variance in realized returns across the executed set. 
This research note is for analytical review purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Theoriq(THQ) | 15.05 | 19.20 | +27.57% | 3.8h | 07-26 20:15 → 07-27 00:00 |
| win | 아이리스(IRYS) | 18.91 | 21.16 | +11.90% | 23.8h | 07-26 09:30 → 07-27 09:15 |
| win | Euler(EUL) | 3,192 | 3,566 | +11.72% | 1.5h | 07-26 23:15 → 07-27 00:45 |
| win | SAFEbit(SAFE) | 133.10 | 145.90 | +9.62% | 0.2h | 07-26 22:00 → 07-26 22:15 |
| win | 캡(CAP) | 28.84 | 31.61 | +9.60% | 9.2h | 07-26 12:30 → 07-26 21:45 |
| loss | SAFEbit(SAFE) | 146.10 | 131.90 | -9.72% | 0.0h | 07-26 22:30 → 07-26 22:30 |
| loss | Euler(EUL) | 3,534 | 3,218 | -8.94% | 0.5h | 07-26 22:45 → 07-26 23:15 |
| loss | Espresso(ESP) | 152.20 | 141.90 | -6.77% | 0.8h | 07-26 23:15 → 07-27 00:00 |
| loss | Across Protocol(ACX) | 59.16 | 55.24 | -6.63% | 39.8h | 07-25 14:15 → 07-27 06:00 |
| loss | 알에스에스쓰리(RSS3) | 7.09 | 6.68 | -5.77% | 6.5h | 07-26 18:15 → 07-27 00:45 |
Full data — all 822 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-27 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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