2026-07-30 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 978 closed trades, win rate 40.4%, expectancy -0.62% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.64 · avg win +2.68% vs avg loss -2.85% (R:R 0.94).
- Best +32.34% / worst -17.79% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 978 (395W / 583L) |
| Win rate | 40.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.62% |
| Profit factor | 0.64 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.68% / -2.85% |
| Best / worst | +32.34% / -17.79% |
Recap
The trading session saw 978 closed trades, resulting in a win rate of 40.4%. The overall expectancy for these closed trades registered at -0.62% per trade, with a profit factor of 0.64. The average winning trade realized a gain of +2.68%, while the average losing trade incurred a loss of -2.85%. Notable positive outcomes included RSS3 at +32.34% and BOB at +14.67%. Conversely, losses were recorded on HPP (-7.15%), SOON (-5.44%), and SLX (-5.41%). The spread between the best recorded gain (+32.34%) and the worst loss (-17.79%) indicates significant volatility captured during the period. 
Analysis of Outcomes
The performance metrics suggest that the magnitude of average losses slightly outweighs the average gains, contributing to the negative expectancy. The notable wins, such as RSS3, suggest periods where directional conviction led to substantial positive returns. However, the losses on HPP and SOON indicate instances where the downside risk materialized significantly, pulling the overall expected value down. The pattern shows that while large gains are possible, the frequency and depth of the losses temper the overall performance. 
Observations
The trades that resulted in losses, particularly those on HPP and SOON, highlight the difficulty in maintaining positive expected value when the average loss size approaches or exceeds the average win size. The data confirms that the risk taken on the losing legs was substantial relative to the gains achieved on the winning legs. This suggests that the cost basis for the negative outcomes was a significant drag on the aggregate result. 
This research note reflects a review of historical paper-trading performance data and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 알에스에스쓰리(RSS3) | 6.35 | 8.40 | +32.34% | 14.5h | 07-29 10:00 → 07-30 00:30 |
| win | Build On BNB(BOB) | 5.36 | 6.14 | +14.67% | 5.8h | 07-29 18:30 → 07-30 00:15 |
| win | Definitive(EDGE) | 84.88 | 93.39 | +10.03% | 19.2h | 07-29 14:00 → 07-30 09:15 |
| win | 바이오패스포트(BIOT) | 0.2649 | 0.2906 | +9.70% | 17.2h | 07-29 05:00 → 07-29 22:15 |
| win | Fabric Protocol(ROBO) | 14.96 | 16.24 | +8.56% | 14.2h | 07-29 13:45 → 07-30 04:00 |
| loss | House Party Protocol(HPP) | 19.72 | 18.31 | -7.15% | 10.0h | 07-29 14:30 → 07-30 00:30 |
| loss | 쑨(SOON) | 323.30 | 305.70 | -5.44% | 4.0h | 07-29 19:45 → 07-29 23:45 |
| loss | Solstice(SLX) | 133.10 | 125.90 | -5.41% | 15.8h | 07-29 17:45 → 07-30 09:30 |
| loss | 식스(SIX) | 6.88 | 6.51 | -5.28% | 33.2h | 07-28 12:00 → 07-29 21:15 |
| loss | Derive(DRV) | 141.10 | 133.90 | -5.10% | 17.0h | 07-29 14:15 → 07-30 07:15 |
Full data — all 978 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-30 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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