2026-07-31 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 264 closed trades, win rate 35.6%, expectancy -0.18% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.86 · avg win +3.14% vs avg loss -2.02% (R:R 1.55).
- Best +17.23% / worst -9.77% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 264 (94W / 170L) |
| Win rate | 35.6% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.18% |
| Profit factor | 0.86 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +3.14% / -2.02% |
| Best / worst | +17.23% / -9.77% |
Recap
The day’s closed trading activity reflects a mixed outcome. Out of 264 trades, the win rate settled at 35.6%. The average profitability per trade was negative at -0.18%, indicating that the average loss magnitude outweighed the average gain. The profit factor of 0.86 suggests that the magnitude of losses exceeded the magnitude of gains. Notable positive returns were observed in PWR (+17.23%), EME (+16.23%), and AMD (+11.52%). Conversely, the largest observed losses were recorded in LHX (-9.77%), OMC (-7.19%), and HPQ (-5.61%).
Observations
The performance metrics suggest that while larger gains were achieved, the frequency and depth of the losses exerted a noticeable drag on overall expectancy. The spread between the best outcome (+17.23%) and the worst outcome (-9.77%) is substantial, highlighting the wide variance in daily execution results. The negative expectancy, despite several significant wins, points to a structural drag from the losing trades that requires attention. 
For Next Time
The losses incurred in names like LHX and HPQ, which represented the largest negative deviations, underscore the difficulty in maintaining positive risk-adjusted returns when the overall market tenor is subdued. These outcomes suggest that the downside capture was significant relative to the upside capture seen in the winning trades. 
This research note is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Quanta Services, Inc.(PWR) | 558.20 | 654.40 | +17.23% | 20.3h | 07-30 02:15 → 07-30 22:35 |
| win | EMCOR Group, Inc.(EME) | 679.50 | 789.80 | +16.23% | 21.4h | 07-30 01:10 → 07-30 22:35 |
| win | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.(AMD) | 440.90 | 491.70 | +11.52% | 18.9h | 07-30 04:30 → 07-30 23:25 |
| win | Micron Technology, Inc.(MU) | 765.20 | 850.60 | +11.16% | 18.6h | 07-30 04:50 → 07-30 23:25 |
| win | Avery Dennison Corporation(AVY) | 167.30 | 185.50 | +10.88% | 21.7h | 07-30 00:55 → 07-30 22:35 |
| loss | L3Harris Technologies, Inc.(LHX) | 298.80 | 269.60 | -9.77% | 20.2h | 07-30 02:25 → 07-30 22:35 |
| loss | Omnicom Group Inc.(OMC) | 83.22 | 77.24 | -7.19% | 20.7h | 07-30 01:55 → 07-30 22:35 |
| loss | HP Inc.(HPQ) | 28.36 | 26.77 | -5.61% | 17.7h | 07-30 04:55 → 07-30 22:35 |
| loss | Public Storage(PSA) | 332.30 | 314.90 | -5.24% | 18.9h | 07-30 03:40 → 07-30 22:35 |
| loss | Brown & Brown, Inc.(BRO) | 74.89 | 70.97 | -5.23% | 19.1h | 07-30 04:20 → 07-30 23:25 |
Full data — all 264 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-31 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)