2026-08-03 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 863 closed trades, win rate 31.1%, expectancy -0.95% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.45 · avg win +2.52% vs avg loss -2.52% (R:R 1.00).
- Best +19.98% / worst -19.25% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 863 (268W / 595L) |
| Win rate | 31.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.95% |
| Profit factor | 0.45 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.52% / -2.52% |
| Best / worst | +19.98% / -19.25% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome. Out of 863 trades, the win rate settled at 31.1%, with an overall expectancy of -0.95% per trade. The profit factor of 0.45 indicates that realized gains were significantly outweighed by realized losses. Notable positive returns were seen in RSS3 (+19.07%), META Old (+17.10%), and WAX(WAXP) (+8.69%). Conversely, significant drawdowns occurred on HFT (-19.25%), ACX (-17.11%), and GPS (-7.99%). The average win size (+2.52%) was mirrored by an average loss size (-2.52%), suggesting a degree of symmetry in the realized risk profile today 
.
Lessons from Drawdowns
The sequence of losses, particularly the deep declines on HFT and ACX, highlights the difficulty in maintaining positive expected value when the frequency of negative outcomes is high. The magnitude of the losses relative to the wins suggests that the downside capture was substantial across several instances. The performance metrics confirm that the realized risk profile today was heavily skewed toward negative expectation 
.
Observations
The trading session concluded with a net negative expectancy, despite achieving some substantial gains. The disparity between the best recorded gain (+19.98%) and the worst loss (-19.25%) underscores the volatility encountered across the sampled assets. The overall picture suggests that while high-magnitude moves are possible, the current execution environment resulted in a net negative statistical outcome 
.
This research note reflects a backtest of closed paper trades and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 알에스에스쓰리(RSS3) | 6.99 | 8.32 | +19.07% | 8.8h | 08-02 15:15 → 08-03 00:00 |
| win | META [Old](META) | 9.95 | 11.65 | +17.10% | 53.8h | 08-01 01:15 → 08-03 07:00 |
| win | WAX(WAXP) | 5.29 | 5.75 | +8.69% | 18.0h | 08-02 19:15 → 08-03 13:15 |
| win | Fusionist(ACE) | 93.81 | 101.90 | +8.62% | 19.8h | 08-02 20:45 → 08-03 16:30 |
| win | 블라스트(BLAST) | 0.3465 | 0.3657 | +5.54% | 16.2h | 08-02 20:30 → 08-03 12:45 |
| loss | Hashflow(HFT) | 12.57 | 10.15 | -19.25% | 46.2h | 08-01 14:30 → 08-03 12:45 |
| loss | Across Protocol(ACX) | 58.28 | 48.31 | -17.11% | 37.0h | 08-01 23:45 → 08-03 12:45 |
| loss | GoPlus Security(GPS) | 13.52 | 12.44 | -7.99% | 34.5h | 08-02 05:30 → 08-03 16:00 |
| loss | Casper Network(CSPR) | 2.69 | 2.53 | -6.02% | 2.8h | 08-02 19:30 → 08-02 22:15 |
| loss | 플룸(PLUME) | 15.80 | 14.98 | -5.19% | 18.5h | 08-02 14:30 → 08-03 09:00 |
Full data — all 863 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)