2026-08-08 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 649 closed trades, win rate 39.4%, expectancy -0.45% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.71 · avg win +2.78% vs avg loss -2.55% (R:R 1.09).
- Best +16.16% / worst -11.74% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 649 (256W / 393L) |
| Win rate | 39.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.45% |
| Profit factor | 0.71 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.78% / -2.55% |
| Best / worst | +16.16% / -11.74% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity resulted in a negative expectancy of -0.45% per trade across 649 executions. The win rate registered at 39.4%, indicating that the frequency of losses outweighed the gains on average. While notable positive returns were observed, such as the +16.16% on Fusionist (ACE) and +15.73% on Helium (HNT), these were counterbalanced by several significant drawdowns, including -8.22% on Biconomy (BICO) and -7.05% on Fusionist (ACE). The average winning trade (+2.78%) was only marginally larger than the average losing trade (-2.55%), suggesting a narrow margin of error across the set of trades. 
Analysis of Outcomes
The performance metrics suggest that the magnitude of losses is proving difficult to mitigate with the current execution profile. Specifically, the disparity between the best outcome (+16.16%) and the worst outcome (-11.74%) highlights high variance within the recorded trades. The cluster of losses around the -7% to -8% range, particularly involving ACE and CYS, suggests that when momentum reverses sharply, the capital exposure is being tested significantly. 
Observations
The data indicates that while high-conviction plays can yield substantial positive returns, the overall structure of the closed trades resulted in a net negative expectation. The frequency of trades combined with the negative profit factor (0.71) points toward a systematic drag across the sampled period. The losses incurred on BICO and CYS, relative to the wins on HNT and CSPR, suggest that the risk taken on certain assets was not adequately compensated by the realized gains. 
This research note reflects a simulation of past trading outcomes and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Fusionist(ACE) | 152.20 | 176.80 | +16.16% | 0.5h | 08-08 01:45 → 08-08 02:15 |
| win | Helium(HNT) | 301.30 | 348.70 | +15.73% | 0.5h | 08-07 21:30 → 08-07 22:00 |
| win | Casper Network(CSPR) | 2.79 | 3.16 | +13.37% | 2.0h | 08-08 01:30 → 08-08 03:30 |
| win | Unibase(UB) | 175.20 | 193.80 | +10.62% | 3.8h | 08-07 21:15 → 08-08 01:00 |
| win | Biconomy(BICO) | 58.06 | 63.86 | +9.99% | 0.5h | 08-07 21:30 → 08-07 22:00 |
| loss | Biconomy(BICO) | 66.04 | 60.61 | -8.22% | 0.0h | 08-07 21:15 → 08-07 21:15 |
| loss | Fusionist(ACE) | 190.20 | 176.80 | -7.05% | 0.5h | 08-07 20:45 → 08-07 21:15 |
| loss | Cysic(CYS) | 1,182 | 1,099 | -7.02% | 1.8h | 08-07 19:30 → 08-07 21:15 |
| loss | Helium(HNT) | 323.30 | 303.70 | -6.06% | 0.2h | 08-07 22:30 → 08-07 22:45 |
| loss | Cronos(CRO) | 75.25 | 71.04 | -5.59% | 31.0h | 08-06 22:15 → 08-08 05:15 |
Full data — all 649 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-08 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)