2026-08-12 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 791 closed trades, win rate 34.1%, expectancy -0.90% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.50 · avg win +2.63% vs avg loss -2.73% (R:R 0.96).
- Best +23.14% / worst -15.67% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 791 (270W / 521L) |
| Win rate | 34.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.90% |
| Profit factor | 0.50 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.63% / -2.73% |
| Best / worst | +23.14% / -15.67% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a challenging risk profile. With 791 trades executed, the overall win rate settled at 34.1%, and the expectancy registered at -0.90% per trade. The profit factor of 0.50 indicates that realized gains were not sufficient to offset the frequency and magnitude of losses. While notable gains were recorded, such as AVAIL at +23.14% and PYR at +15.62%, these were counterbalanced by several significant drawdowns, including TOKAMAK at -6.11% and EDEN at -5.40%. The average win (+2.63%) was slightly smaller in magnitude than the average loss (-2.73%), suggesting a slight negative skew in the outcomes observed. 
Observations from Drawdowns
The losses observed, particularly those exceeding 5% in magnitude, point to periods where momentum shifts were not adequately managed across the sampled assets. The consistency of the negative expectancy suggests that the cost basis for exiting positions, even those that initially showed strength, contributed materially to the net negative return. The depth of the worst loss (-15.67%) relative to the best gain (+23.14%) highlights the sensitivity to adverse price action when the overall market structure is unfavorable. 
For Next Time
The data set emphasizes that high trade volume does not correlate with positive expected value when the risk/reward balance is skewed by larger losses relative to wins. The pattern suggests that while capturing significant upside moves is possible, the frequency of trades resulting in losses, combined with the size of those losses, exerted a persistent drag on the overall performance metric. 
Disclaimer: This research note reflects the analysis of historical, closed paper-trading data and does not constitute financial advice or an endorsement of any trading strategy.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 어베일(AVAIL) | 2.97 | 3.66 | +23.14% | 19.2h | 08-11 05:00 → 08-12 00:15 |
| win | 불칸포지드(PYR) | 87.27 | 100.90 | +15.62% | 3.2h | 08-11 20:45 → 08-12 00:00 |
| win | aelf(ELF) | 81.68 | 90.09 | +10.30% | 39.8h | 08-10 21:30 → 08-12 13:15 |
| win | Bitrue Coin(BTR) | 41.73 | 45.42 | +8.84% | 1.8h | 08-11 20:15 → 08-11 22:00 |
| win | Espresso(ESP) | 98.27 | 103.90 | +5.73% | 22.2h | 08-11 13:15 → 08-12 11:30 |
| loss | 토카막네트워크(TOKAMAK) | 422.40 | 396.60 | -6.11% | 12.0h | 08-11 14:45 → 08-12 02:45 |
| loss | OpenEden(EDEN) | 62.83 | 59.44 | -5.40% | 3.8h | 08-11 20:00 → 08-11 23:45 |
| loss | GRVT Token(GRVT) | 464.50 | 441.60 | -4.93% | 0.0h | 08-11 21:15 → 08-11 21:15 |
| loss | Impossible Cloud Network Token(ICNT) | 193.20 | 183.80 | -4.87% | 14.8h | 08-11 19:45 → 08-12 10:30 |
| loss | Hippo Protocol(HP) | 9.33 | 8.88 | -4.78% | 25.2h | 08-11 01:45 → 08-12 03:00 |
Full data — all 791 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-12 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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