2026-08-13 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 206 closed trades, win rate 42.2%, expectancy -0.13% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.87 · avg win +2.06% vs avg loss -1.73% (R:R 1.19).
- Best +14.23% / worst -5.04% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 206 (87W / 119L) |
| Win rate | 42.2% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.13% |
| Profit factor | 0.87 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.06% / -1.73% |
| Best / worst | +14.23% / -5.04% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed performance across the reviewed trades. The positive outcomes were anchored by significant gains in specific names, notably Super Micro Computer, Inc. and Seagate Technology Holdings PLC, which provided notable upward movement. However, these gains were counterbalanced by several losses, including those observed in Adobe Inc. and Charter Communications, Inc. The overall expectancy for the closed trades registered at a negative value, suggesting that the average loss magnitude slightly outweighed the average gain magnitude across the sampled trades. 
Observations
The losses encountered today, particularly those in established names like ADBE and CHTR, suggest a degree of resistance or downward pressure in those sectors relative to the gains seen elsewhere. The spread between the best recorded outcome (+14.23%) and the worst (-5.04%) indicates considerable volatility capture, but the negative expectancy suggests that the frequency or size of the smaller losses is currently dampening the overall edge. 
For Next Time
The performance highlights that while strong individual catalysts can drive substantial positive returns, the aggregate result is being pulled down by several instances where the downside materialized. The data points to a need for greater caution when the market exhibits mixed signals, as the risk profile appears to be leaning toward negative expected value based on the closed set. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Super Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI) | 31.91 | 36.45 | +14.23% | 43.8h | 08-11 02:50 → 08-12 22:35 |
| win | Seagate Technology Holdings PLC(STX) | 806.20 | 880.10 | +9.17% | 42.4h | 08-11 05:00 → 08-12 23:25 |
| win | Sandisk Corporation(SNDK) | 1,267 | 1,379 | +8.84% | 19.6h | 08-12 04:00 → 08-12 23:35 |
| win | Teradyne, Inc.(TER) | 375.80 | 404.10 | +7.53% | 21.4h | 08-12 02:40 → 08-13 00:05 |
| win | Ciena Corporation(CIEN) | 387.50 | 416.40 | +7.46% | 17.6h | 08-12 05:00 → 08-12 22:35 |
| loss | Adobe Inc.(ADBE) | 269.90 | 256.30 | -5.04% | 23.7h | 08-11 23:45 → 08-12 23:25 |
| loss | Charter Communications, Inc.(CHTR) | 158.80 | 150.80 | -5.04% | 18.4h | 08-12 05:00 → 08-12 23:25 |
| loss | CF Industries Holdings, Inc.(CF) | 119.70 | 113.90 | -4.85% | 23.2h | 08-11 23:25 → 08-12 22:35 |
| loss | Datadog, Inc.(DDOG) | 251.10 | 240.50 | -4.22% | 23.8h | 08-12 02:40 → 08-13 02:25 |
| loss | TJX Companies, Inc. (The)(TJX) | 160.50 | 154.40 | -3.80% | 141.9h | 08-07 00:40 → 08-12 22:35 |
Full data — all 206 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-13 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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