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2026-08-15 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal

Key takeaways

  • 848 closed trades, win rate 52.2%, expectancy +0.28% per trade.
  • Profit factor 1.21 · avg win +3.04% vs avg loss -2.74% (R:R 1.11).
  • Best +28.44% / worst -14.13% — every closed trade counted, losses included.

Metrics

MetricValue
Closed trades848 (443W / 405L)
Win rate52.2%
Expectancy / trade+0.28%
Profit factor1.21
Avg win / avg loss+3.04% / -2.74%
Best / worst+28.44% / -14.13%

Recap

The trading session saw 848 closed trades, yielding a positive expectancy of +0.28% per trade. The win rate settled at 52.2%, supported by an average win size of +3.04% against an average loss of -2.74%. The performance metrics indicate a profit factor of 1.21. Notable gains included significant appreciation in CoW Protocol (COW) at +28.44% and Walrus (WAL) at +19.61%. Conversely, losses were recorded across multiple assets, including instances with Fusionist (ACE) showing both a -7.33% and -5.76% drawdown, alongside losses in Injective (INJ) at -6.11%. Bengal

Analysis of Outcomes

The recorded losses, particularly the multiple instances involving ACE, highlight the sensitivity of certain assets to minor fluctuations. The fact that the average win size (+3.04%) exceeds the average loss size (-2.74%) is the primary driver of the positive expectancy. The range between the best outcome (+28.44%) and the worst outcome (-14.13%) suggests significant dispersion in realized volatility across the monitored period. Bengal

Lessons from Drawdowns

The trades that resulted in losses, such as those in ACE and INJ, suggest that while capturing large upside moves is possible, the risk profile exposed during drawdowns warrants closer examination. The consistency of losses across different assets, even when paired with strong wins, points toward the need to manage the tail risk more systematically. Bengal

This research note reflects only the historical outcomes of paper-trading activity and does not constitute financial advice.

Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)

ResultSymbolBuySellP&LHeldEntry → Exit (KST)
winCoW Protocol(COW)143.10183.80+28.44%58.2h08-13 07:45 → 08-15 18:00
winWalrus(WAL)29.2735.01+19.61%39.2h08-14 03:30 → 08-15 18:45
winFusionist(ACE)319.30349.60+9.49%0.2h08-14 21:30 → 08-14 21:45
winTheoriq(THQ)13.1814.39+9.18%45.5h08-13 11:45 → 08-15 09:15
winRonin(RON)68.6374.75+8.92%13.8h08-14 11:45 → 08-15 01:30
lossFusionist(ACE)349.30323.70-7.33%0.2h08-14 21:15 → 08-14 21:30
lossInjective(INJ)6,3315,944-6.11%7.0h08-14 17:00 → 08-15 00:00
lossFusionist(ACE)378.40356.60-5.76%0.0h08-14 22:45 → 08-14 22:45
loss불칸포지드(PYR)79.5575.00-5.72%3.5h08-14 23:30 → 08-15 03:00
loss디파이앱(HOME)15.6014.77-5.32%2.8h08-14 18:30 → 08-14 21:15
_P&L distribution (300 meaningful trades): min -7.33% · P25 -3.16% · median +0.41% · P75 +2.97% · max +28.44%_

Full data — all 848 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.

Related


As of 2026-08-15 (KST).

Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.

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