2026-08-17 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 897 closed trades, win rate 45.8%, expectancy -0.22% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.84 · avg win +2.44% vs avg loss -2.46% (R:R 0.99).
- Best +20.34% / worst -20.94% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 897 (411W / 486L) |
| Win rate | 45.8% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.22% |
| Profit factor | 0.84 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.44% / -2.46% |
| Best / worst | +20.34% / -20.94% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome, with 897 trades executed. The overall expectancy registered at -0.22% per trade, and the profit factor was 0.84, indicating that losses slightly outweighed gains across the sampled trades. While notable positive returns were recorded on assets like HPP (+12.46%) and SUNDOG (+12.40%), these gains were counterbalanced by significant drawdowns, such as the -20.94% observed on HEMI and -20.94% on HEMI. The average winning percentage (+2.44%) was closely matched by the average losing percentage (-2.46%), suggesting a pattern of near-symmetry in the magnitude of outcomes, though the frequency of wins (45.8%) was below parity. 
Observations from Drawdowns
The trades resulting in the largest losses, specifically those involving HEMI and AEON, highlight instances where initial directional conviction proved insufficient against sustained downward pressure. These outcomes suggest that while identifying high-potential assets is possible, the execution phase requires a more robust assessment of immediate counter-trend resistance. The depth of the losses relative to the gains suggests that the risk taken on the losing side was disproportionately weighted compared to the realized upside on the winning side. 
For Next Time
The data set indicates that the spread between the best recorded gain (+20.34%) and the worst recorded loss (-20.94%) is narrow, suggesting that the potential for extreme positive deviation is currently capped by the potential for similar extreme negative deviation. The structure of the results points toward a need for greater differentiation in risk management across the trade lifecycle, rather than relying solely on the win rate or average return metrics. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | 하우스파티프로토콜(HPP) | 7.20 | 8.09 | +12.46% | 12.0h | 08-16 12:00 → 08-17 00:00 |
| win | 썬도그(SUNDOG) | 5.44 | 6.12 | +12.40% | 6.0h | 08-16 18:00 → 08-17 00:00 |
| win | World Liberty Financial(WLFI) | 80.22 | 88.15 | +9.89% | 33.5h | 08-15 13:45 → 08-16 23:15 |
| win | Checkmate(CHECK) | 20.41 | 22.18 | +8.67% | 6.2h | 08-16 17:45 → 08-17 00:00 |
| win | Sophon(SOPH) | 5.21 | 5.64 | +8.15% | 21.0h | 08-16 09:15 → 08-17 06:15 |
| loss | 헤미(HEMI) | 11.54 | 9.12 | -20.94% | 5.5h | 08-16 17:45 → 08-16 23:15 |
| loss | Project AEON(AEON) | 115.10 | 102.90 | -10.60% | 5.2h | 08-16 18:00 → 08-16 23:15 |
| loss | AWE Network(AWE) | 89.90 | 82.66 | -8.05% | 14.0h | 08-16 16:30 → 08-17 06:30 |
| loss | Geodnet(GEOD) | 285.30 | 265.70 | -6.87% | 6.0h | 08-16 17:30 → 08-16 23:30 |
| loss | Hashflow(HFT) | 9.01 | 8.42 | -6.55% | 0.5h | 08-16 23:30 → 08-17 00:00 |
Full data — all 897 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-17 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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