2026-08-23 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 1527 closed trades, win rate 47.7%, expectancy -0.21% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.87 · avg win +2.83% vs avg loss -2.98% (R:R 0.95).
- Best +37.74% / worst -11.27% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 1527 (728W / 799L) |
| Win rate | 47.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.21% |
| Profit factor | 0.87 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.83% / -2.98% |
| Best / worst | +37.74% / -11.27% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed outcome. Out of 1527 trades, the win rate settled at 47.7%. The average realized expectancy across these trades was negative at -0.21% per trade, with a profit factor of 0.87. The spread between average gains (+2.83%) and average losses (-2.98%) suggests a slight asymmetry in outcomes, though the overall expectancy remains negative. Notable positive returns were observed in BFC (+16.49%), GNO (+14.61%), and AMP (+14.60%), while losses were recorded in MPLX (-4.36%), WET (-4.22%), and ACS (-4.02%). 
Observations from Losses
The losses incurred, particularly in MPLX, WET, and ACS, highlight instances where the market moved against established short-term momentum. The magnitude of the losses relative to the wins suggests that the downside capture was consistent, even when the initial directional bias proved incorrect. This indicates that while identifying high-potential moves is possible, the execution phase requires careful management when initial assumptions fail to materialize into sustained movement. 
For Next Time
The data points toward a period where the overall edge was difficult to maintain across a high volume of trades. The negative expectancy, despite several substantial wins, suggests that the frequency or size of the losses eroded the overall positive skew. The focus remains on recognizing the structural weakness in the underlying flow that contributed to the negative average outcome. 
This research note is for analytical observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Bifrost(BFC) | 13.34 | 15.54 | +16.49% | 10.5h | 08-22 14:30 → 08-23 01:00 |
| win | Gnosis(GNO) | 166,666 | 191,009 | +14.61% | 5.0h | 08-22 19:15 → 08-23 00:15 |
| win | 앰프(AMP) | 0.5666 | 0.6493 | +14.60% | 14.0h | 08-22 19:30 → 08-23 09:30 |
| win | 토카막네트워크(TOKAMAK) | 426.40 | 481.50 | +12.92% | 4.2h | 08-22 18:15 → 08-22 22:30 |
| win | Ardor(ARDR) | 28.19 | 31.54 | +11.88% | 2.0h | 08-22 20:00 → 08-22 22:00 |
| loss | Metaplex(MPLX) | 39.93 | 38.19 | -4.36% | 20.2h | 08-22 17:15 → 08-23 13:30 |
| loss | HumidiFi(WET) | 97.30 | 93.19 | -4.22% | 16.2h | 08-22 19:00 → 08-23 11:15 |
| loss | Access Protocol(ACS) | 0.1942 | 0.1864 | -4.02% | 14.2h | 08-22 16:30 → 08-23 06:45 |
| loss | 파이버스(PIEVERSE) | 1,351 | 1,297 | -4.00% | 4.5h | 08-22 18:30 → 08-22 23:00 |
| loss | 타이코(TAIKO) | 105.10 | 100.90 | -4.00% | 22.2h | 08-22 14:15 → 08-23 12:30 |
Full data — all 1527 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-23 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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