2026-08-26 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 248 closed trades, win rate 49.2%, expectancy +0.07% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.10 · avg win +1.57% vs avg loss -1.38% (R:R 1.14).
- Best +8.83% / worst -4.23% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 248 (122W / 126L) |
| Win rate | 49.2% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.07% |
| Profit factor | 1.10 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.57% / -1.38% |
| Best / worst | +8.83% / -4.23% |
Recap
The day saw a notable number of closed trades, totaling 248 transactions. The overall win rate settled at 49.2%, with the average expectation per trade registering at a positive 0.07%. The profit factor of 1.10 suggests that gains slightly outweighed losses across the sampled trades. The average winning trade realized a gain of 1.57%, while the average losing trade resulted in a decline of 1.38%. Among the notable successes were gains in MRNA at +8.83%, SMCI at +6.49%, and CHTR at +5.87%: 
. Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed in CRWD at -4.23%, TGT at -4.18%, and SWKS at -4.17%.
Lessons from Outcomes
The performance across the losing trades, specifically the declines in CRWD, TGT, and SWKS, highlighted the sensitivity of certain names to intraday volatility. These instances suggest that while some names offered significant upside potential, the downside risk materialized with considerable force. Observing these losses alongside the strong gains in MRNA and SMCI provides a clear picture of the bifurcated nature of today’s market action. It is encouraging to see the positive skew in the average win versus the average loss, even if the absolute figures show significant variance. 
For Next Time
The data indicates a pattern where achieving substantial positive returns (like the +8.83% on MRNA) is possible, but this is balanced by several instances where losses approached the 4% mark. The spread between the best outcome and the worst outcome (+8.83% vs -4.23%) is quite wide, suggesting that the market structure today allowed for both considerable appreciation and notable pullbacks across different sectors. This historical view of the closed trades provides a solid foundation for observing the market’s current equilibrium. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Moderna, Inc.(MRNA) | 138.10 | 150.30 | +8.83% | 22.0h | 08-25 00:50 → 08-25 22:50 |
| win | Super Micro Computer, Inc.(SMCI) | 35.57 | 37.88 | +6.49% | 21.8h | 08-25 01:45 → 08-25 23:35 |
| win | Charter Communications, Inc.(CHTR) | 146.60 | 155.20 | +5.87% | 3.4h | 08-25 22:55 → 08-26 02:20 |
| win | CDW Corporation(CDW) | 133.60 | 139.90 | +4.72% | 23.4h | 08-25 02:55 → 08-26 02:20 |
| win | Carvana Co.(CVNA) | 70.96 | 74.08 | +4.40% | 24.5h | 08-24 22:50 → 08-25 23:20 |
| loss | CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD) | 191.40 | 183.30 | -4.23% | 122.1h | 08-21 00:45 → 08-26 02:50 |
| loss | Target Corporation(TGT) | 169.80 | 162.70 | -4.18% | 18.7h | 08-25 04:10 → 08-25 22:50 |
| loss | Skyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS) | 66.84 | 64.05 | -4.17% | 93.7h | 08-22 01:25 → 08-25 23:05 |
| loss | Nike, Inc.(NKE) | 40.98 | 39.28 | -4.15% | 22.4h | 08-25 00:25 → 08-25 22:50 |
| loss | Insulet Corporation(PODD) | 149.10 | 143.10 | -4.02% | 117.7h | 08-21 01:10 → 08-25 22:50 |
Full data — all 248 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-26 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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