2026-09-02 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 283 closed trades, win rate 33.2%, expectancy -1.17% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.57 · avg win +4.58% vs avg loss -4.03% (R:R 1.14).
- Best +28.92% / worst -43.80% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 283 (94W / 189L) |
| Win rate | 33.2% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.17% |
| Profit factor | 0.57 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +4.58% / -4.03% |
| Best / worst | +28.92% / -43.80% |
Recap
The recent closed trading activity shows a mixed performance profile. Out of 283 trades, the win rate settled at 33.2%. The average realized expectancy across these trades was negative at -1.17% per trade. Profitability was constrained, evidenced by a profit factor of 0.57. While the average winning trade realized a gain of +4.58%, the average losing trade incurred a loss of -4.03%. The range of outcomes was significant, with the best single outcome being a gain of +28.92% (Siacoin: SC), contrasting sharply with the worst recorded loss of -43.80% (Cysic: CYS)
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Analysis of Outcomes
The notable wins, such as the gains on Siacoin (SC) and Mossland (MOC), suggest instances where directional conviction aligned with market movement. However, the losses incurred on assets like Cysic (CYS) and BTR indicate periods where the realized downside exceeded the average loss expectation. The disparity between the best and worst outcomes highlights the high variance present in the recent trading sample.
Lessons from Losses
The trades resulting in significant negative returns, particularly the depth of the losses observed, underscore the challenge of managing drawdown relative to average positive returns. These outcomes suggest that the magnitude of adverse price action can quickly erode accumulated gains, even when the win rate is positive. The data points to a need for greater sensitivity to downside risk realization across multiple assets.
This research note reflects the analysis of historical paper-trading results and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Siacoin(SC) | 0.8323 | 1.07 | +28.92% | 53.2h | 08-31 10:00 → 09-02 15:15 |
| win | Mossland(MOC) | 23.83 | 30.00 | +25.89% | 60.0h | 08-31 03:15 → 09-02 15:15 |
| win | Falcon Finance(FF) | 118.10 | 138.90 | +17.61% | 40.2h | 08-31 23:00 → 09-02 15:15 |
| win | Filecoin(FIL) | 934.90 | 1,087 | +16.27% | 33.2h | 09-01 06:00 → 09-02 15:15 |
| win | 훅트프로토콜(HOOK) | 5.64 | 6.45 | +14.23% | 39.0h | 09-01 00:30 → 09-02 15:30 |
| loss | Cysic(CYS) | 895.90 | 503.50 | -43.80% | 36.5h | 09-01 02:45 → 09-02 15:15 |
| loss | Bitrue Coin(BTR) | 134.10 | 99.84 | -25.55% | 35.2h | 09-01 04:15 → 09-02 15:30 |
| loss | Bitrue Coin(BTR) | 100.10 | 78.92 | -21.16% | 1.5h | 09-02 15:30 → 09-02 17:00 |
| loss | Helium(HNT) | 867.90 | 750.20 | -13.56% | 31.2h | 09-01 08:00 → 09-02 15:15 |
| loss | 프롬(PROM) | 7,613 | 6,603 | -13.27% | 35.0h | 09-01 04:15 → 09-02 15:15 |
Full data — all 283 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)