2026-09-03 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 150 closed trades, win rate 44.0%, expectancy -0.17% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.85 · avg win +2.16% vs avg loss -2.00% (R:R 1.08).
- Best +8.00% / worst -7.28% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 150 (66W / 84L) |
| Win rate | 44.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.17% |
| Profit factor | 0.85 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.16% / -2.00% |
| Best / worst | +8.00% / -7.28% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflected a mixed performance across the portfolio. Out of the 150 trades executed, the win rate settled at 44.0%. The average expectancy per trade was negative at -0.17%, which is tempered by the profit factor sitting at 0.85. The average winning trade yielded a gain of 2.16%, while the average losing trade resulted in a loss of 2.00%. The range observed was significant, with the best single outcome being an 8.00% gain (BBY) and the worst being a 7.28% decline (PANW). The notable wins included BBY at +8.00%, SWKS at +5.70%, and WFC at +4.44%. Conversely, the notable losses involved PANW at -7.28%, PLTR at -6.00%, and STX at -4.57:.
Observations
The frequency of trades suggests a high level of activity, but the negative expectancy and profit factor indicate that the losses are currently outweighing the gains on average. The disparity between the best outcome (+8.00%) and the worst outcome (-7.28%) suggests that while significant upside potential was captured, the downside risk materialized with similar magnitude, leading to a net drag on performance. 
Lessons from Losses
The losses incurred on names like PANW, PLTR, and STX highlight instances where the market moved against the established directional bias. These declines, particularly the magnitude of the losses relative to the gains, suggest that the underlying market structure or sector-specific headwinds were stronger than anticipated during those specific trade windows. The negative expectancy points to a systemic drag that needs more granular examination. 
For Next Time
The data shows that while profitable trades exist, the overall risk-adjusted performance was negative. The structure of the results indicates that the downside capture was substantial across several names. The focus remains on how the observed average loss size relates to the average win size when the overall expectancy remains negative.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Best Buy Co., Inc.(BBY) | 79.52 | 85.88 | +8.00% | 47.5h | 08-31 23:40 → 09-02 23:10 |
| win | Skyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS) | 66.50 | 70.29 | +5.70% | 145.2h | 08-27 23:10 → 09-03 00:20 |
| win | Wells Fargo & Company(WFC) | 85.65 | 89.45 | +4.44% | 163.5h | 08-27 04:50 → 09-03 00:20 |
| win | Deere & Company(DE) | 653.80 | 682.30 | +4.36% | 45.0h | 09-01 02:10 → 09-02 23:10 |
| win | Reddit, Inc.(RDDT) | 147.80 | 153.90 | +4.13% | 49.1h | 08-31 23:00 → 09-03 00:05 |
| loss | Palo Alto Networks, Inc.(PANW) | 362.40 | 336.00 | -7.28% | 23.1h | 09-01 23:40 → 09-02 22:45 |
| loss | Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) | 185.00 | 173.90 | -6.00% | 142.7h | 08-28 00:05 → 09-02 22:45 |
| loss | Seagate Technology Holdings PLC(STX) | 823.30 | 785.70 | -4.57% | 49.0h | 08-31 23:05 → 09-03 00:05 |
| loss | Tesla, Inc.(TSLA) | 364.50 | 350.60 | -3.81% | 46.8h | 09-01 00:20 → 09-02 23:10 |
| loss | Equinix, Inc.(EQIX) | 1,050 | 1,012 | -3.62% | 117.3h | 08-29 01:25 → 09-02 22:45 |
Full data — all 150 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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