2026-09-08 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 676 closed trades, win rate 54.1%, expectancy +0.16% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.13 · avg win +2.64% vs avg loss -2.76% (R:R 0.96).
- Best +15.91% / worst -29.62% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 676 (366W / 310L) |
| Win rate | 54.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.16% |
| Profit factor | 1.13 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.64% / -2.76% |
| Best / worst | +15.91% / -29.62% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed outcome. With 676 trades executed, the win rate settled at 54.1%, yielding a positive expectancy of +0.16% per trade. The average winning trade (+2.64%) was slightly smaller in magnitude than the average losing trade (-2.76%), which kept the profit factor near parity at 1.13. The notable gains from Falcon Finance (FF) and House Party Protocol (HPP) provided solid positive anchors, while the losses incurred on Anoma (XAN) and Sophon (SOPH) represented the primary drag on overall performance. It is clear that while directional conviction was present, the risk management profile across the losing trades warrants review 
.
Observations
The spread between the best outcome (+15.91%) and the worst outcome (-29.62%) indicates significant variance in trade realization. The losses, particularly those seen in XAN and SOPH, suggest that when initial directional assumptions prove incorrect, the drawdown can be substantial. The positive expectancy, despite the negative skew from the losses, confirms that the successful trades are, on average, compensating for the unsuccessful ones. This suggests the underlying signal generation mechanism retains some structural validity 
.
For Next Time
The performance highlights that the magnitude of losses can disproportionately impact the overall return profile, even when the win rate is above 50%. The trades that resulted in the largest drawdowns, such as the -29.62% realization, suggest that the initial risk parameters were insufficient to contain downside movement when market structure shifted against the established bias. The focus remains on maintaining the positive expectancy by better managing the tail risk observed in the losing segments 
.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Falcon Finance(FF) | 161.20 | 185.80 | +15.26% | 53.0h | 09-06 14:45 → 09-08 19:45 |
| win | House Party Protocol(HPP) | 9.08 | 10.22 | +12.51% | 14.5h | 09-07 09:30 → 09-08 00:00 |
| win | 이오스트(IOST) | 1.17 | 1.31 | +12.34% | 0.8h | 09-07 23:15 → 09-08 00:00 |
| win | Fusionist(ACE) | 238.20 | 262.70 | +10.29% | 1.0h | 09-07 23:45 → 09-08 00:45 |
| win | ThetaDrop(TDROP) | 0.5726 | 0.6291 | +9.87% | 23.0h | 09-07 09:30 → 09-08 08:30 |
| loss | Anoma(XAN) | 26.23 | 24.68 | -5.91% | 1.5h | 09-07 23:00 → 09-08 00:30 |
| loss | Sophon(SOPH) | 7.35 | 6.93 | -5.65% | 2.0h | 09-07 22:00 → 09-08 00:00 |
| loss | JUST(JST) | 148.10 | 139.90 | -5.54% | 4.8h | 09-07 19:30 → 09-08 00:15 |
| loss | Doodles(DOOD) | 2.97 | 2.81 | -5.52% | 0.5h | 09-07 22:30 → 09-07 23:00 |
| loss | 불칸포지드(PYR) | 88.91 | 84.62 | -4.83% | 1.2h | 09-07 20:45 → 09-07 22:00 |
Full data — all 676 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-08 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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