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2026-09-09 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal

Key takeaways

  • 658 closed trades, win rate 48.3%, expectancy -0.18% per trade.
  • Profit factor 0.88 · avg win +2.63% vs avg loss -2.81% (R:R 0.94).
  • Best +21.56% / worst -10.61% — every closed trade counted, losses included.

Metrics

MetricValue
Closed trades658 (318W / 340L)
Win rate48.3%
Expectancy / trade-0.18%
Profit factor0.88
Avg win / avg loss+2.63% / -2.81%
Best / worst+21.56% / -10.61%

Recap

The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed outcome. Out of 658 trades, the win rate settled at 48.3%. The average expected return per trade was negative at -0.18%, with a profit factor below parity at 0.88. The average winning trade yielded a gain of +2.63%, contrasting with an average loss of -2.81%. Notable positive outcomes included significant gains on GamerCoin (GHX) at +21.56% and Osmosis (OSMO) at +18.48%. Conversely, losses were observed on Fabric Protocol (ROBO) at -7.34% and Perle (PRL) at -6.07%. The variance was considerable, highlighted by the best recorded gain of +21.56% against the worst loss of -10.61%. Bengal

Observations

The spread between the average win size and the average loss size suggests that while larger gains are achievable, the frequency and magnitude of losses are currently exerting a drag on overall expected value. The performance indicates that the risk taken on the losing legs of the trades appears to be slightly disproportionate to the returns captured on the winning legs. Bengal

For Next Time

The negative expectancy, despite several high-magnitude wins, points toward structural inefficiencies in the executed trades. The losses incurred on assets like ROBO and PRL suggest that the entry or exit points on those specific pairs were not sufficiently insulated from downward momentum. The data suggests a need to re-evaluate the risk parameters applied when the market exhibits directional weakness. Bengal

This research note is for analytical review only and does not constitute investment advice.

Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)

ResultSymbolBuySellP&LHeldEntry → Exit (KST)
winGamerCoin(GHX)11.1813.59+21.56%47.5h09-07 00:30 → 09-09 00:00
winOsmosis(OSMO)48.0556.93+18.48%19.0h09-09 00:00 → 09-09 19:00
win불칸포지드(PYR)74.0582.64+11.60%2.5h09-08 21:30 → 09-09 00:00
win미라(MIRA)67.8775.42+11.12%13.0h09-08 20:00 → 09-09 09:00
winArcium(ARX)185.20203.80+10.04%2.2h09-08 23:00 → 09-09 01:15
lossFabric Protocol(ROBO)16.0714.89-7.34%1.0h09-08 22:00 → 09-08 23:00
lossPerle(PRL)171.20160.80-6.07%17.8h09-08 17:00 → 09-09 10:45
lossSophon(SOPH)13.5712.82-5.53%0.5h09-08 22:30 → 09-08 23:00
lossSophon(SOPH)12.3711.69-5.50%0.2h09-08 23:45 → 09-09 00:00
lossSophon(SOPH)12.7112.04-5.27%0.0h09-08 21:45 → 09-08 21:45
_P&L distribution (300 meaningful trades): min -7.34% · P25 -3.38% · median -0.42% · P75 +2.62% · max +21.56%_

Full data — all 658 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.

Related


As of 2026-09-09 (KST).

Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.

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