2026-09-11 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 570 closed trades, win rate 33.7%, expectancy -1.03% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.48 · avg win +2.88% vs avg loss -3.02% (R:R 0.95).
- Best +24.06% / worst -6.07% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 570 (192W / 378L) |
| Win rate | 33.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.03% |
| Profit factor | 0.48 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.88% / -3.02% |
| Best / worst | +24.06% / -6.07% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity shows a mixed outcome, with 570 trades executed resulting in a win rate of 33.7%. The average realized profit was 2.88%, contrasted by an average loss of -3.02%. The profit factor at 0.48 indicates that the total gains were less than the total losses realized across the sample set. Notable positive returns were observed in TFUEL (+24.06%) and TRAC (+16.83%), suggesting periods of strong directional movement captured some value. Conversely, losses were recorded on BTR (-5.67%) and SD (-4.65%), which contributed to the overall negative expectancy of -1.03% per trade. 
Analysis of Outcomes
The negative expectancy, coupled with a profit factor below parity, suggests that the magnitude of losses is currently outweighing the gains realized. The spread between the average win and average loss is relatively narrow, indicating that the risk taken on losing trades is not being adequately offset by the gains on winning trades. The depth of the worst recorded loss (-6.07%) relative to the best gain (+24.06%) points to instances where downside risk materialized significantly without a corresponding protective offset in the overall trade structure.
For Next Time
The performance highlights that while capturing significant upside, as seen with TFUEL, is possible, the frequency and size of the losses are currently dragging the overall performance metric. The data suggests that the risk management applied to the losing trades needs closer examination against the structure of the winning trades. 
Disclaimer: This research note is for analytical review purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Theta Fuel(TFUEL) | 12.72 | 15.78 | +24.06% | 12.5h | 09-10 20:30 → 09-11 09:00 |
| win | OriginTrail(TRAC) | 428.40 | 500.50 | +16.83% | 26.0h | 09-10 07:00 → 09-11 09:00 |
| win | 폴리스웜(NCT) | 13.69 | 15.98 | +16.73% | 2.2h | 09-10 22:15 → 09-11 00:30 |
| win | Onyxcoin(XCN) | 5.21 | 5.90 | +13.37% | 20.8h | 09-10 12:15 → 09-11 09:00 |
| win | Theta Network(THETA) | 235.20 | 260.70 | +10.84% | 16.0h | 09-10 17:00 → 09-11 09:00 |
| loss | Bitrue Coin(BTR) | 71.26 | 67.22 | -5.67% | 3.0h | 09-10 18:30 → 09-10 21:30 |
| loss | Stader(SD) | 159.20 | 151.80 | -4.65% | 11.0h | 09-10 13:15 → 09-11 00:15 |
| loss | 펜들(PENDLE) | 2,720 | 2,601 | -4.38% | 7.8h | 09-10 14:00 → 09-10 21:45 |
| loss | Spacecoin(SPACE) | 6.42 | 6.14 | -4.28% | 22.2h | 09-10 21:45 → 09-11 20:00 |
| loss | 바이오패스포트(BIOT) | 0.4494 | 0.4303 | -4.25% | 0.0h | 09-11 00:30 → 09-11 00:30 |
Full data — all 570 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-11 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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