2026-09-16 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 52 closed trades, win rate 40.4%, expectancy -0.69% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.49 · avg win +1.61% vs avg loss -2.25% (R:R 0.72).
- Best +5.00% / worst -5.41% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 52 (21W / 31L) |
| Win rate | 40.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.69% |
| Profit factor | 0.49 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.61% / -2.25% |
| Best / worst | +5.00% / -5.41% |
Recap
The day’s closed trading activity showed a mixed outcome. Out of 52 trades concluded, the win rate settled at 40.4%. The average expectation per trade was negative at -0.69%, reflecting that the average winning trade (+1.61%) was significantly offset by the average losing trade (-2.25%). Notable positive returns included gains on RMD (+5.00%), COP (+3.76%), and ADP (+3.27%). Conversely, the losses were substantial, highlighted by SNPS (-5.41%), DECK (-3.73%), and EME (-3.58%). The range of performance, from a high of +5.00% to a low of -5.41%, suggests considerable volatility was encountered across the reviewed set of transactions 
.
Observations
The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that while profitable trades occurred, the magnitude of the losses was disproportionately large relative to the gains. The profit factor of 0.49 indicates that the total gross profit generated was less than the total gross loss realized over the period. This pattern suggests that the risk taken on the losing side of the trades was not sufficiently curtailed by the gains achieved on the winning side 
.
For next time
The notable losses, particularly those exceeding 3.5% in magnitude, underscore the importance of managing drawdowns across multiple names. The performance on SNPS and DECK, which represented significant capital reductions, point to instances where the initial thesis or risk assessment did not hold up against immediate market pressure. The overall picture suggests that while identifying strong performers like RMD is possible, the structure of the losses requires closer examination for structural weakness 
.
This research note reflects a paper-trading analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | ResMed Inc.(RMD) | 221.80 | 232.90 | +5.00% | 168.0h | 09-09 01:35 → 09-16 01:35 |
| win | ConocoPhillips(COP) | 135.50 | 140.60 | +3.76% | 167.3h | 09-09 04:15 → 09-16 03:35 |
| win | Automatic Data Processing, Inc.(ADP) | 268.90 | 277.70 | +3.27% | 168.0h | 09-09 01:35 → 09-16 01:35 |
| win | Trimble Inc.(TRMB) | 57.58 | 59.15 | +2.73% | 145.5h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-16 02:05 |
| win | United Parcel Service, Inc.(UPS) | 99.90 | 102.60 | +2.70% | 148.5h | 09-10 00:05 → 09-16 04:35 |
| loss | Synopsys, Inc.(SNPS) | 395.70 | 374.30 | -5.41% | 166.9h | 09-08 23:45 → 09-15 22:40 |
| loss | Deckers Outdoor Corporation(DECK) | 81.16 | 78.13 | -3.73% | 142.5h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-15 23:05 |
| loss | EMCOR Group, Inc.(EME) | 759.90 | 732.70 | -3.58% | 148.8h | 09-09 23:45 → 09-16 04:35 |
| loss | DBA Sempra(SRE) | 85.03 | 82.04 | -3.52% | 141.2h | 09-10 02:50 → 09-16 00:05 |
| loss | Amazon.com, Inc.(AMZN) | 257.10 | 248.30 | -3.42% | 163.1h | 09-09 05:00 → 09-16 00:05 |
Full data — all 52 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-16 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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