2026-09-17 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 23 closed trades, win rate 17.4%, expectancy -1.23% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.07 · avg win +0.54% vs avg loss -1.60% (R:R 0.34).
- Best +1.16% / worst -3.62% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 23 (4W / 19L) |
| Win rate | 17.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.23% |
| Profit factor | 0.07 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +0.54% / -1.60% |
| Best / worst | +1.16% / -3.62% |
Recap
The recent set of closed trades reflects a challenging period of execution. The win rate stands at 17.4%, with the average realized loss significantly outweighing the average gain, resulting in a negative expectancy of -1.23% per trade. The profit factor of 0.07 suggests that the magnitude of losses is substantially greater than the magnitude of gains. Notable positive outcomes included gains in GILD (+1.16%), XYL (+0.55%), and ALLE (+0.39%). Conversely, the losses were concentrated, with FDXF (-3.62%), YUM (-3.58%), and REG (-3.06%) representing the largest drawdowns observed. 
Observations on Performance
The disparity between the average win (+0.54%) and the average loss (-1.60%) indicates that the risk taken on losing trades has been disproportionately larger than the reward captured on winning trades. The best recorded gain (+1.16%) was modest compared to the worst recorded loss (-3.62%). This pattern suggests that while some profitable entries were secured, the risk management applied to the losing trades resulted in significant negative drag on the overall performance. 
Lessons from Outcomes
The substantial negative skew, evidenced by the wide gap between average win and average loss, points to an overexposure to downside risk in several instances. The trades that resulted in the largest losses, such as FDXF and YUM, suggest that the initial thesis or the subsequent market movement quickly invalidated the trade premise, leading to rapid and deep declines. The data emphasizes that the magnitude of the downside captures needs careful review relative to the potential upside capture. 
This research note is for analytical review purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Gilead Sciences, Inc.(GILD) | 146.50 | 148.20 | +1.16% | 168.0h | 09-10 00:45 → 09-17 00:45 |
| win | Xylem Inc.(XYL) | 108.30 | 108.90 | +0.55% | 168.0h | 09-09 22:50 → 09-16 22:50 |
| win | Allegion plc(ALLE) | 153.40 | 154.00 | +0.39% | 168.0h | 09-10 00:15 → 09-17 00:15 |
| win | Welltower Inc.(WELL) | 235.40 | 235.50 | +0.04% | 168.0h | 09-10 00:05 → 09-17 00:05 |
| loss | FedEx Freight Holding Company,(FDXF) | 127.00 | 122.40 | -3.62% | 167.5h | 09-10 00:05 → 09-16 23:35 |
| loss | Yum! Brands, Inc.(YUM) | 145.20 | 140.00 | -3.58% | 167.2h | 09-09 23:25 → 09-16 22:40 |
| loss | Regency Centers Corporation(REG) | 75.44 | 73.13 | -3.06% | 168.0h | 09-10 04:00 → 09-17 04:00 |
| loss | WEC Energy Group, Inc.(WEC) | 106.20 | 104.00 | -2.07% | 168.0h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-17 00:35 |
| loss | Brown Forman Inc(BF-B) | 26.30 | 25.78 | -1.98% | 168.0h | 09-10 02:30 → 09-17 02:30 |
Full data — all 23 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-17 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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