2026-09-18 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 2 closed trades, win rate 50.0%, expectancy +0.30% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.38 · avg win +2.20% vs avg loss -1.59% (R:R 1.38).
- Best +2.20% / worst -1.59% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 2 (1W / 1L) |
| Win rate | 50.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.30% |
| Profit factor | 1.38 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.20% / -1.59% |
| Best / worst | +2.20% / -1.59% |
Recap
The recent closed trades showed a mixed performance profile. Out of the two positions closed, the win rate was 50.0%. The average realized gain was +2.20%, as seen with the close on Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), while the average loss was -1.59%, exemplified by the close on Charles Schwab Corporation (The(SCHW)). The overall expectancy across these closed trades registered at +0.30% per trade, and the profit factor stood at 1.38. This suggests that the positive outcomes were sufficient to offset the losses observed. 
Lessons from Outcomes
The experience with the losing trade on The(SCHW) highlighted the sensitivity of certain names to immediate shifts in sentiment, even when broader index movements suggest underlying strength. The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that while successful captures were meaningful, the magnitude of the losses warrants attention. It is clear that the market’s reaction to specific corporate news or sector rotation can create sharper drawdowns than anticipated, even within a generally upward-trending regime. 
Observation
The performance metrics—specifically the positive expectancy combined with a modest win rate—indicate that the realized gains were structurally sound enough to overcome the recorded losses. The notable win on LMT suggests that value capture in established defense contractors remains a viable area of focus when technical setups align. 
This research note reflects a paper-trading analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Lockheed Martin Corporation(LMT) | 527.10 | 538.70 | +2.20% | 185.8h | 09-10 05:00 → 09-17 22:45 |
| loss | Charles Schwab Corporation (The(SCHW) | 106.80 | 105.10 | -1.59% | 185.8h | 09-10 05:00 → 09-17 22:45 |
Full data — all 2 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-18 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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