2026-09-20 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 823 closed trades, win rate 45.8%, expectancy -0.48% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.70 · avg win +2.48% vs avg loss -2.98% (R:R 0.83).
- Best +10.31% / worst -8.75% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 823 (377W / 446L) |
| Win rate | 45.8% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.48% |
| Profit factor | 0.70 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.48% / -2.98% |
| Best / worst | +10.31% / -8.75% |
Recap
The session saw a high volume of closed trades, totaling 823 executions. The overall win rate registered at 45.8%, with the average trade expectancy coming out negative at -0.48% per trade. The profit factor of 0.70 indicates that the average loss magnitude outweighed the average win magnitude. Notable positive outcomes included gains on Celer Network (CELR) at +10.31% and Ontology Gas (ONG) at +8.98%. Conversely, the largest recorded losses were observed on OPEN Tony (OPEN) at -7.81% and MultiversX (EGLD) at -6.77% and -5.90% 
.
Observations
The disparity between the average winning return (+2.48%) and the average losing return (-2.98%) suggests that the magnitude of losses is systematically exceeding the gains, which is reflected in the negative expectancy. The best single outcome (+10.31%) was significantly higher than the average win, while the worst outcome (-8.75%) was also substantial. This pattern suggests that while identifying high-potential moves is possible, the risk management around those trades appears to be the primary drag on overall performance 
.
For Next Time
The repeated instances of larger losses relative to gains, particularly seen with EGLD, highlight the importance of managing drawdowns even when initial signals appear strong. The data points to a regime where the cost of incorrect directional bets is proving costly. The current metrics suggest that the risk taken on the losing trades needs closer examination against the realized gains 
.
This research note is for analytical review only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Celer Network(CELR) | 3.12 | 3.45 | +10.31% | 8.0h | 09-19 17:00 → 09-20 01:00 |
| win | Ontology Gas(ONG) | 109.10 | 118.90 | +8.98% | 24.5h | 09-19 09:30 → 09-20 10:00 |
| win | 자마(ZAMA) | 105.10 | 113.90 | +8.37% | 0.5h | 09-20 00:00 → 09-20 00:30 |
| win | Hashflow(HFT) | 8.01 | 8.68 | +8.37% | 15.0h | 09-19 09:30 → 09-20 00:30 |
| win | 하우스파티프로토콜(HPP) | 8.86 | 9.35 | +5.50% | 6.2h | 09-20 00:30 → 09-20 06:45 |
| loss | OPEN Tony(OPEN) | 197.20 | 181.80 | -7.81% | 32.2h | 09-19 11:15 → 09-20 19:30 |
| loss | MultiversX(EGLD) | 7,753 | 7,228 | -6.77% | 0.0h | 09-20 00:00 → 09-20 00:00 |
| loss | MultiversX(EGLD) | 8,764 | 8,247 | -5.90% | 0.2h | 09-19 23:15 → 09-19 23:30 |
| loss | AWE Network(AWE) | 89.68 | 84.48 | -5.80% | 0.0h | 09-19 23:30 → 09-19 23:30 |
| loss | 자마(ZAMA) | 113.10 | 106.90 | -5.48% | 1.0h | 09-19 23:00 → 09-20 00:00 |
Full data — all 823 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-20 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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