2026-09-30 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 704 closed trades, win rate 56.8%, expectancy +0.47% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.40 · avg win +2.88% vs avg loss -2.72% (R:R 1.06).
- Best +23.09% / worst -20.24% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 704 (400W / 304L) |
| Win rate | 56.8% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.47% |
| Profit factor | 1.40 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.88% / -2.72% |
| Best / worst | +23.09% / -20.24% |
Recap
The trading session saw 704 closed trades, resulting in a positive expectancy of +0.47% per trade. The win rate registered at 56.8%, supported by a profit factor of 1.40. The average winning trade (+2.88%) slightly exceeded the average losing trade (-2.72%), indicating a modest edge across the sampled trades. Notable positive outcomes included significant gains on deBridge (DBR) at +23.09% and multiple profitable entries on MARBLEX (MBX). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed on Plasma (XPL) at -5.29% and GRVT Token (GRVT) at -4.80%. Overall, the performance suggests a controlled environment where positive captures were more frequent than negative ones, leading to a net positive outcome for the period. 
Lessons from Drawdowns
The trades that resulted in losses, such as those on XPL and ARDR, highlight the impact of volatility spikes exceeding anticipated ranges. The magnitude of the losses, while contained relative to the best gains, suggests that rapid directional shifts can quickly erode accumulated gains. Observing the depth of the worst loss (-20.24%) relative to the best gain (+23.09%) underscores the necessity of maintaining a balanced view of risk exposure across different asset classes. 
For Next Time
The data confirms that while the win rate is above the 50% threshold, the spread between the average win and average loss is relatively narrow. The consistency in capturing moderate gains, as seen with the multiple MBX entries, suggests that identifying reliable, smaller-scale momentum plays remains a viable pattern. The observed performance is purely based on historical closed trades and does not constitute a guide for future market movements. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | deBridge(DBR) | 27.89 | 34.33 | +23.09% | 13.5h | 09-29 10:45 → 09-30 00:15 |
| win | MARBLEX(MBX) | 46.97 | 52.19 | +11.11% | 0.0h | 09-30 00:00 → 09-30 00:00 |
| win | MARBLEX(MBX) | 41.94 | 46.08 | +9.87% | 1.5h | 09-29 22:30 → 09-30 00:00 |
| win | Sonic SVM(SONIC) | 36.51 | 39.78 | +8.96% | 21.0h | 09-29 20:00 → 09-30 17:00 |
| win | Initia(INIT) | 133.10 | 144.90 | +8.87% | 5.5h | 09-29 18:00 → 09-29 23:30 |
| loss | Plasma(XPL) | 136.10 | 128.90 | -5.29% | 13.5h | 09-29 15:30 → 09-30 05:00 |
| loss | GRVT Token(GRVT) | 283.30 | 269.70 | -4.80% | 9.2h | 09-29 15:30 → 09-30 00:45 |
| loss | Ardor(ARDR) | 42.73 | 40.72 | -4.70% | 10.2h | 09-30 00:00 → 09-30 10:15 |
| loss | Nillion(NIL) | 111.10 | 105.90 | -4.68% | 0.2h | 09-29 23:00 → 09-29 23:15 |
| loss | 콘텐토스(COS) | 0.481 | 0.4596 | -4.45% | 6.2h | 09-29 18:15 → 09-30 00:30 |
Full data — all 704 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-30 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)