2026-10-01 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 689 closed trades, win rate 52.4%, expectancy +0.04% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.03 · avg win +2.56% vs avg loss -2.73% (R:R 0.94).
- Best +12.66% / worst -24.66% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 689 (361W / 328L) |
| Win rate | 52.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.04% |
| Profit factor | 1.03 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.56% / -2.73% |
| Best / worst | +12.66% / -24.66% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity shows a mixed bag of outcomes. Out of 689 trades, the win rate settled at 52.4%, yielding a positive expectancy of +0.04% per trade. The average winning trade (+2.56%) was slightly smaller in magnitude than the average losing trade (-2.73%), which kept the profit factor just above parity at 1.03. The notable gains, such as the +12.66% on Helium (HNT) and the solid returns on Berachain (BERA) and Merlin Chain (MERL), provided some bright spots today 
. Conversely, the losses incurred on assets like Gitcoin (GTC) and 제로지 (0G) represented deeper drawdowns, with the worst single loss reaching -24.66%.
Observations
The performance metrics suggest that while the overall directional bias was slightly positive, the asymmetry between average wins and average losses indicates that the magnitude of the losses is currently outweighing the gains on a per-trade basis. The depth of the losses, particularly the -24.66% recorded, highlights the significant downside risk present across the sampled assets. It is encouraging to see the successful captures on HNT and BERA, as these demonstrate the potential for substantial upside capture when market conditions align favorably 
.
Lessons Learned
The trades that resulted in losses, specifically those involving GTC, 0G, and G, point toward areas where the initial conviction proved insufficient against stronger counter-momentum. These instances underscore that even when technical setups appear compelling, the market’s immediate rejection can be significant. Observing these negative outcomes helps calibrate the necessary caution when entering positions where the initial volatility suggests a potential for rapid reversal.
This research note reflects the analysis of historical paper-trading performance data and does not constitute financial advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Helium(HNT) | 629.60 | 709.30 | +12.66% | 11.2h | 09-30 20:00 → 10-01 07:15 |
| win | Berachain(BERA) | 319.30 | 345.70 | +8.27% | 4.2h | 09-30 20:45 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | Merlin Chain(MERL) | 39.17 | 42.33 | +8.07% | 4.5h | 09-30 20:30 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | Useless Coin(USELESS) | 323.30 | 344.70 | +6.62% | 9.5h | 09-30 12:15 → 09-30 21:45 |
| win | 카이토(KAITO) | 451.50 | 476.50 | +5.54% | 23.2h | 09-30 01:45 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Gitcoin(GTC) | 137.10 | 127.90 | -6.71% | 4.0h | 09-30 21:00 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | 제로지(0G) | 444.40 | 415.60 | -6.48% | 4.2h | 09-30 20:45 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Gravity (by Galxe)(G) | 7.10 | 6.69 | -5.77% | 21.2h | 09-30 22:00 → 10-01 19:15 |
| loss | 스카이프로토콜(SKY) | 111.10 | 104.90 | -5.58% | 18.2h | 09-30 06:45 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Prospective(PROS) | 982.00 | 931.10 | -5.18% | 0.0h | 09-30 21:15 → 09-30 21:15 |
Full data — all 689 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-01 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)