2026-10-01 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 36 closed trades, win rate 22.2%, expectancy -1.95% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.11 · avg win +1.04% vs avg loss -2.80% (R:R 0.37).
- Best +3.77% / worst -5.36% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 36 (8W / 28L) |
| Win rate | 22.2% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.95% |
| Profit factor | 0.11 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.04% / -2.80% |
| Best / worst | +3.77% / -5.36% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed performance profile. Out of the thirty-six trades concluded, the win rate settled at 22.2%. The average realized gain was positive at +1.04%, contrasted by an average loss of -2.80%. The overall expectancy for the closed trades was negative at -1.95% per trade. Notable positive outcomes included gains on DPZ (+3.77%), STX (+1.92%), and PGR (+0.92%). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed in GM (-5.36%), CEG (-5.25%), and NRG (-5.20%). The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that the magnitude of the losses significantly weighed on the aggregate performance today 
.
Observations
The pattern of losses today, particularly across energy and automotive names, suggests that when certain sectors experienced sharp declines, the resulting negative impact was substantial relative to the gains achieved elsewhere. The depth of the losses, as seen with GM and CEG, indicates that the market sentiment in those specific areas was significantly bearish during the periods of the trades. The positive results, while present, were insufficient to offset the cumulative drag from the larger negative movements.
For Next Time
The data points from the losing trades highlight the sensitivity of certain names to broader sector weakness. The frequency and depth of the negative outcomes suggest that when conviction is not maintained across multiple names, the portfolio’s overall expected value can trend downward quickly. It is clear that the risk taken on the downside in several instances resulted in outcomes that required careful consideration against the realized upside.
This research note reflects a paper-trading simulation and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Domino's Pizza Inc(DPZ) | 289.20 | 300.10 | +3.77% | 169.8h | 09-23 23:10 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | Seagate Technology Holdings PLC(STX) | 904.00 | 921.40 | +1.92% | 170.2h | 09-23 22:45 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | Progressive Corporation (The)(PGR) | 206.50 | 208.40 | +0.92% | 168.7h | 09-24 00:20 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | NXP Semiconductors N.V.(NXPI) | 232.30 | 233.70 | +0.60% | 169.2h | 09-23 23:50 → 10-01 01:00 |
| win | Evergy, Inc.(EVRG) | 78.58 | 79.04 | +0.59% | 169.9h | 09-23 23:05 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | General Motors Company(GM) | 82.15 | 77.75 | -5.36% | 144.9h | 09-25 00:05 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Constellation Energy Corporatio(CEG) | 264.60 | 250.70 | -5.25% | 24.8h | 09-30 00:15 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | NRG Energy, Inc.(NRG) | 99.49 | 94.32 | -5.20% | 145.9h | 09-24 23:05 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Jabil Inc.(JBL) | 313.40 | 297.40 | -5.11% | 48.5h | 09-29 00:30 → 10-01 01:00 |
| loss | Corning Incorporated(GLW) | 160.80 | 152.80 | -4.98% | 25.3h | 09-29 23:40 → 10-01 01:00 |
Full data — all 36 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-01 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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