2026-10-02 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 206 closed trades, win rate 37.4%, expectancy -0.60% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.63 · avg win +2.75% vs avg loss -2.60% (R:R 1.06).
- Best +29.59% / worst -7.24% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 206 (77W / 129L) |
| Win rate | 37.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.60% |
| Profit factor | 0.63 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.75% / -2.60% |
| Best / worst | +29.59% / -7.24% |
Recap
The recent closed trading activity shows a mixed outcome. Out of the 206 trades concluded, the win rate registered at 37.4%. The average profitability per trade was negative at -0.60%, though the structure of the outcomes suggests a slight asymmetry, with the average win being +2.75% against an average loss of -2.60%. The range of performance was wide, evidenced by the best recorded gain of +29.59% on ACN, contrasted with the worst loss of -7.24% on GIS. The notable gains on ACN, CTSH, and PTC provided clear positive anchors to the session’s performance, while the losses on GIS, SW, and DE indicate areas where the downside capture was significant 
.
Lessons from Outcomes
The losses incurred on names like GIS, SW, and DE suggest that when momentum falters or when sector-specific headwinds materialize, the magnitude of the drawdowns can be substantial. The negative expectancy, despite the positive profit factor of 0.63, points toward the frequency and size of the losses outweighing the gains realized. It is clear that the market’s reaction to specific value names, as seen in the declines, requires a degree of caution when assessing mean reversion potential 
.
For Next Time
The data confirms that while significant upside captures are possible, the overall risk profile, as measured by the negative expectancy, suggests that the downside risk observed in the losing trades warrants continued attention. The spread between the best and worst outcomes is considerable, suggesting that the market regime can shift rapidly, making reliance on any single directional bias difficult to maintain .
This research note is for analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Accenture plc(ACN) | 173.70 | 225.10 | +29.59% | 49.0h | 09-29 22:50 → 10-01 23:50 |
| win | Cognizant Technology Solutions(CTSH) | 57.59 | 63.35 | +10.00% | 140.7h | 09-26 03:10 → 10-01 23:50 |
| win | PTC Inc.(PTC) | 138.20 | 146.80 | +6.22% | 167.7h | 09-25 01:00 → 10-02 00:40 |
| win | Cboe Global Markets, Inc.(CBOE) | 263.70 | 278.90 | +5.76% | 48.5h | 09-29 23:35 → 10-02 00:05 |
| win | Applied Materials, Inc.(AMAT) | 500.30 | 526.40 | +5.22% | 47.8h | 09-30 00:35 → 10-02 00:20 |
| loss | General Mills, Inc.(GIS) | 33.83 | 31.38 | -7.24% | 139.2h | 09-26 04:35 → 10-01 23:50 |
| loss | Smurfit WestRock plc(SW) | 45.40 | 42.20 | -7.05% | 166.8h | 09-25 01:00 → 10-01 23:50 |
| loss | Deere & Company(DE) | 700.10 | 652.30 | -6.83% | 168.2h | 09-24 23:35 → 10-01 23:50 |
| loss | Home Depot, Inc. (The)(HD) | 292.50 | 277.70 | -5.06% | 168.2h | 09-24 23:35 → 10-01 23:50 |
| loss | Healthpeak Properties, Inc.(DOC) | 20.46 | 19.47 | -4.84% | 168.9h | 09-24 22:55 → 10-01 23:50 |
Full data — all 206 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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