2026-10-03 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 783 closed trades, win rate 44.1%, expectancy -0.57% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.65 · avg win +2.39% vs avg loss -2.90% (R:R 0.82).
- Best +10.99% / worst -7.04% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 783 (345W / 438L) |
| Win rate | 44.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.57% |
| Profit factor | 0.65 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.39% / -2.90% |
| Best / worst | +10.99% / -7.04% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed outcome. Out of 783 trades, the win rate settled at 44.1%. The overall expectancy was negative at -0.57% per trade, with a profit factor of 0.65. Wins were generally characterized by positive returns, such as the notable gains observed in ApeCoin (APE) and Delysium (AGI). Conversely, the losses were significant, exemplified by trades in BLAST and CFG. The average win (+2.39%) was notably smaller in magnitude compared to the average loss (-2.90%), contributing to the negative expectancy. 
Observations on Drawdowns
The negative expectancy, coupled with a profit factor below parity, suggests that the magnitude of realized losses has been disproportionately impactful relative to the gains recorded. The spread between the best recorded gain (+10.99%) and the worst loss (-7.04%) indicates considerable volatility exposure across the sampled assets. The performance metrics suggest that the risk taken on the losing legs of the trades has been a dominant factor in the day’s net result. 
For Next Time
The pattern observed suggests that while identifying high-conviction setups remains possible, the execution risk across multiple assets has been costly. The consistent negative skew between average win and average loss suggests that the risk parameters applied to the losing trades may require recalibration relative to the potential upside captured in the winning trades. The data points to a need for more disciplined management of the downside exposure across the board. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | ApeCoin(APE) | 228.20 | 249.80 | +9.47% | 0.8h | 10-02 22:00 → 10-02 22:45 |
| win | Delysium(AGI) | 8.95 | 9.77 | +9.09% | 2.0h | 10-02 22:00 → 10-03 00:00 |
| win | ApeCoin(APE) | 211.20 | 229.80 | +8.81% | 2.5h | 10-02 19:00 → 10-02 21:30 |
| win | 캡(CAP) | 84.65 | 89.05 | +5.20% | 0.0h | 10-02 22:00 → 10-02 22:00 |
| win | Ether.fi(ETHFI) | 979.00 | 1,029 | +5.11% | 15.0h | 10-02 07:30 → 10-02 22:30 |
| loss | 블라스트(BLAST) | 0.5522 | 0.5181 | -6.18% | 10.0h | 10-02 13:45 → 10-02 23:45 |
| loss | Centrifuge(CFG) | 204.20 | 192.80 | -5.58% | 17.2h | 10-02 10:15 → 10-03 03:30 |
| loss | Optimism(OP) | 180.20 | 170.80 | -5.22% | 13.8h | 10-02 13:45 → 10-03 03:30 |
| loss | Manta Network(MANTA) | 94.42 | 89.51 | -5.20% | 5.2h | 10-02 22:15 → 10-03 03:30 |
| loss | 사피엔(SAPIEN) | 104.10 | 98.90 | -5.00% | 39.5h | 10-01 12:00 → 10-03 03:30 |
Full data — all 783 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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