2026-10-06 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 791 closed trades, win rate 47.2%, expectancy -0.09% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.93 · avg win +2.48% vs avg loss -2.38% (R:R 1.04).
- Best +43.05% / worst -7.01% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 791 (373W / 418L) |
| Win rate | 47.2% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.09% |
| Profit factor | 0.93 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.48% / -2.38% |
| Best / worst | +43.05% / -7.01% |
Recap
The day saw a significant volume of closed trades, totaling 791 executions. The overall performance metrics indicate a negative expectancy of -0.09% per trade, with a profit factor below parity at 0.93. While the average winning trade yielded a gain of +2.48%, this was countered by an average loss of -2.38%. The range of outcomes was wide, highlighted by a best performance of +43.05% on NMR and a worst outcome of -7.01%. The notable gains on NMR, VTHO, and PYR suggest moments of strong directional conviction were profitable, though the losses incurred on BICO, KAITO, and DRV temper the overall picture 
.
Observations on Outcomes
The spread between the best and worst recorded outcomes is substantial, suggesting that while high-reward opportunities were captured, the frequency and magnitude of losses were also notable. The fact that the average win is only marginally larger than the average loss suggests that the risk management across the closed set was not consistently favorable, leading to the negative expectancy. It is clear that the market exhibited periods of high volatility, which was reflected in the spread of results.
Lessons from Losses
The trades that resulted in losses, such as those on BICO, KAITO, and DRV, point toward instances where the initial directional thesis proved insufficient to withstand subsequent market pressure. These specific outcomes suggest that while identifying initial entry points can be accurate, the subsequent price action revealed underlying structural resistance or momentum decay that was not fully accounted for in the initial assessment. 
Disclaimer: This research note is for analytical review purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Numeraire(NMR) | 15,776 | 22,567 | +43.05% | 35.0h | 10-05 09:30 → 10-06 20:30 |
| win | VeThor(VTHO) | 0.8768 | 0.9726 | +10.93% | 63.5h | 10-03 17:30 → 10-06 09:00 |
| win | 불칸포지드(PYR) | 79.89 | 85.68 | +7.25% | 8.8h | 10-05 15:30 → 10-06 00:15 |
| win | Tellor Tributes(TRB) | 26,927 | 28,621 | +6.29% | 57.5h | 10-04 10:15 → 10-06 19:45 |
| win | 이온(AEON) | 72.83 | 77.17 | +5.96% | 29.0h | 10-04 16:45 → 10-05 21:45 |
| loss | Biconomy(BICO) | 29.37 | 27.92 | -4.94% | 55.5h | 10-03 17:00 → 10-06 00:30 |
| loss | 카이토(KAITO) | 473.50 | 453.50 | -4.22% | 12.0h | 10-05 11:30 → 10-05 23:30 |
| loss | Derive(DRV) | 550.50 | 527.50 | -4.18% | 30.0h | 10-04 19:00 → 10-06 01:00 |
| loss | 콘텐토스(COS) | 0.4607 | 0.4418 | -4.10% | 3.5h | 10-05 20:00 → 10-05 23:30 |
| loss | Chromia(CHR) | 31.44 | 30.16 | -4.07% | 11.0h | 10-05 12:00 → 10-05 23:00 |
Full data — all 791 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-06 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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