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2026-10-07 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal

Key takeaways

  • 930 closed trades, win rate 25.4%, expectancy -1.65% per trade.
  • Profit factor 0.27 · avg win +2.37% vs avg loss -3.02% (R:R 0.78).
  • Best +14.14% / worst -8.80% — every closed trade counted, losses included.

Metrics

MetricValue
Closed trades930 (236W / 694L)
Win rate25.4%
Expectancy / trade-1.65%
Profit factor0.27
Avg win / avg loss+2.37% / -3.02%
Best / worst+14.14% / -8.80%

Recap

The day’s closed activity reflects a challenging risk profile. With a win rate at 25.4% and a negative expectancy of -1.65% per trade, the aggregate performance suggests that the magnitude of losses is currently outweighing the gains. The average winning trade (+2.37%) was significantly smaller than the average losing trade (-3.02%), which is a key drag on overall returns. Notable positive outcomes, such as the +14.14% on UOS, were offset by several larger drawdowns, including -6.66% on SPACE and -5.96% on CP. Bengal

Observations from Drawdowns

The losses incurred on SPACE, CP, and GEOD indicate instances where initial directional conviction proved insufficient against prevailing market momentum. These trades suggest that the market structure was capable of absorbing significant selling pressure, invalidating the initial thesis for those specific assets. The disparity between the best outcome (+14.14%) and the worst outcome (-8.80%) highlights the high variance inherent in the current trading environment. Bengal

For Next Time

The data points toward a regime where risk management appears to be the most critical factor. The negative profit factor (0.27) confirms that the system is generating more losing capital than winning capital on a net basis. The spread between the average win and average loss magnitude suggests that the risk taken on losing trades is disproportionately larger than the reward secured on winning trades. Bengal


Disclaimer: This research note is for analytical observation only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.

Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)

ResultSymbolBuySellP&LHeldEntry → Exit (KST)
win울트라(UOS)4.785.46+14.14%22.5h10-06 01:30 → 10-07 00:00
winDefinitive(EDGE)152.20165.80+8.94%22.0h10-06 11:00 → 10-07 09:00
win콘텐토스(COS)0.44260.4794+8.31%24.5h10-06 00:15 → 10-07 00:45
winEther.fi(ETHFI)981.001,055+7.54%10.0h10-06 11:30 → 10-06 21:30
winMeteora(MET)424.40447.60+5.47%5.8h10-06 19:00 → 10-07 00:45
lossSpacecoin(SPACE)6.806.34-6.66%23.5h10-06 11:30 → 10-07 11:00
lossCluster Protocol(CP)16.4315.45-5.96%35.5h10-05 23:30 → 10-07 11:00
lossGeodnet(GEOD)401.40379.60-5.43%8.8h10-06 17:15 → 10-07 02:00
lossEnjin Coin(ENJ)44.0541.72-5.29%36.2h10-05 22:45 → 10-07 11:00
loss디와이디엑스(DYDX)199.20188.80-5.22%88.0h10-03 19:00 → 10-07 11:00
_P&L distribution (300 meaningful trades): min -6.66% · P25 -3.70% · median -3.30% · P75 +0.13% · max +14.14%_

Full data — all 930 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.

Related


As of 2026-10-07 (KST).

Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.

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