2026-10-07 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 205 closed trades, win rate 65.9%, expectancy +1.27% per trade.
- Profit factor 3.42 · avg win +2.72% vs avg loss -1.53% (R:R 1.78).
- Best +12.49% / worst -5.55% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 205 (135W / 70L) |
| Win rate | 65.9% |
| Expectancy / trade | +1.27% |
| Profit factor | 3.42 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.72% / -1.53% |
| Best / worst | +12.49% / -5.55% |
Recap
The session saw a high volume of activity with 205 closed trades. The overall performance metrics indicate a positive expectancy of +1.27% per trade and a robust profit factor of 3.42. The asymmetry between average wins (+2.72%) and average losses (-1.53%) contributed to this positive outcome. The notable gains from CEG (+12.49%), CTVA (+10.24%), and CRL (+9.87%) provided significant lifts to the overall returns. Conversely, the losses experienced on WDC (-5.55%), CRL (-3.74%), and ACN (-3.60%) represented the primary drag on the net result. It was certainly an active day for the books 
.
Lessons from the Outcomes
The trades that concluded at a loss, particularly those involving WDC and ACN, highlighted instances where the initial directional conviction did not hold up against market friction. The depth of the losses, such as the -5.55% on WDC, suggests that while the setup appeared sound at the time of entry, the subsequent market action quickly invalidated the initial thesis. These instances underscore the importance of observing the failure points in the trading sequence, rather than just the initial trigger. 
For Next Time
The data confirms that the positive skew—where wins significantly outweigh losses in magnitude—is a key driver of the positive expectancy. The ability to capture substantial gains, as seen with CEG, suggests that identifying high-conviction breakouts remains a valuable component of the process. The variance observed in the losing trades, however, suggests that the market can rapidly shift sentiment, even after a period of apparent stability. 
Disclaimer: This research note reflects historical paper-trading performance and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Constellation Energy Corporatio(CEG) | 268.20 | 301.70 | +12.49% | 23.4h | 10-05 23:15 → 10-06 22:40 |
| win | Corteva, Inc.(CTVA) | 12.21 | 13.46 | +10.24% | 93.8h | 10-03 00:50 → 10-06 22:40 |
| win | Charles River Laboratories Inte(CRL) | 302.00 | 331.80 | +9.87% | 22.8h | 10-05 23:50 → 10-06 22:40 |
| win | Marvell Technology, Inc.(MRVL) | 271.60 | 294.40 | +8.39% | 20.6h | 10-06 02:15 → 10-06 22:50 |
| win | Vistra Corp.(VST) | 145.00 | 156.80 | +8.14% | 23.5h | 10-05 23:10 → 10-06 22:40 |
| loss | Western Digital Corporation(WDC) | 441.60 | 417.10 | -5.55% | 23.8h | 10-05 22:50 → 10-06 22:40 |
| loss | Charles River Laboratories Inte(CRL) | 331.20 | 318.80 | -3.74% | 0.2h | 10-06 22:50 → 10-06 23:05 |
| loss | Accenture plc(ACN) | 199.90 | 192.70 | -3.60% | 92.0h | 10-03 02:50 → 10-06 22:50 |
| loss | Marvell Technology, Inc.(MRVL) | 293.10 | 282.60 | -3.58% | 2.0h | 10-06 23:15 → 10-07 01:15 |
| loss | Revvity, Inc.(RVTY) | 163.90 | 158.40 | -3.36% | 0.3h | 10-06 22:50 → 10-06 23:10 |
Full data — all 205 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-07 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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