2026-07-25 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 24.1% | 23.2% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 36.2% | 18.7% | improving |
| US | neutral | 21.2% | 7.6% | stable |
| Volatility | bearish | 50.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 50.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Credit | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 37.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | bullish | 50.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | extreme_bullish | 60.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bearish | 50.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_CONSUMER, KR_SEMICONDUCTOR, KR_UTILITIES, KR_FINANCIALS · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 07-27 15:00 KST — POSCO FUTURE M 실적 발표 (003670)
- 🔴 07-28 15:00 KST — SK hynix 실적 발표 (000660)
- 🔴 07-30 03:00 KST — FOMC Meeting
- 🔴 07-30 09:00 KST — KCC 배당락일 (002380)
- 🔴 07-30 15:00 KST — POSCO Holdings 실적 발표 (005490)
- 🔴 07-30 15:00 KST — DL 실적 발표 (000210)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (56 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 5 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains stable with a slight tilt toward bullish readings, suggesting contained risk appetite.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits extreme bullish positioning, while credit conditions read decidedly bearish.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements are registering as neutral, with liquidity showing a clear bullish bias.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are in an extremely bullish state, contrasting with inflation which is showing a sideways-bearish tendency.
- Kosho(KR): Korean equities are reading as neutral overall, with consumer, semiconductor, utilities, and financials showing strength.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a divergence: commodities and bonds show strong upward momentum, yet credit remains significantly impaired. US equities are stable, while crypto shows an improving trend, suggesting underlying structural shifts across asset classes. The overall sentiment points toward caution amid varied sectoral strength. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-07-20
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-07-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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