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2026-07-25 US Market Read — Maine

Regime at a glance

AreaRegimeBullBearTrend
Cryptoneutral24.1%23.2%improving
Koreaneutral36.2%18.7%improving
USneutral21.2%7.6%stable
Volatilitybearish50.0%25.0%stable
Bondsextreme_bullish50.0%50.0%stable
Creditextreme_bearish0.0%100.0%stable
FXneutral37.5%12.5%stable
Liquiditysideways_bullish50.0%25.0%stable
Commoditiesextreme_bullish70.0%0.0%stable
Inflationbullish50.0%50.0%stable

Sectors/baskets — strong: BASIC_MATERIALS · weak: —

This week’s calendar

  • 🔴 07-28 21:30 KST — American Tower Corporation (REI 실적 발표 (AMT)
  • 🔴 07-29 05:00 KST — Arch Capital Group Ltd. 실적 발표 (ACGL)
  • 🔴 07-29 21:30 KST — Aon plc 실적 발표 (AON)
  • 🔴 07-29 21:30 KST — Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 실적 발표 (ADP)
  • 🔴 07-29 21:30 KST — Amphenol Corporation 실적 발표 (APH)
  • 🔴 07-30 03:00 KST — FOMC Meeting

Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.

Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bullish (6 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 5 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only

Desk panel

  • Lovble(Global): Volatility readings suggest a stable, yet mixed, risk appetite. 러블
  • Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits strong bullish readings, while credit conditions show a pronounced bearish leaning. 브숏
  • Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements are registering as neutral, with liquidity showing a slight bullish tilt. 샤암
  • Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are reading as extremely bullish, contrasting with the inflation reading which is simply bullish. 노웰
  • Maine(US): US equities are reading as neutral overall, with basic materials showing relative strength. 멘쿤

Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict

!QAZ(Chair): The data presents a divergence where commodities and bonds show pronounced strength indicators, while credit remains notably weak. US equities are holding a neutral stance amidst these differing macro signals, suggesting caution across asset classes. !QAZ 호랑이 지휘관

Related


As of 2026-07-25 (KST).

Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.

Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer: