2026-08-01 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 7.0% | 59.9% | deteriorating |
| Korea | neutral | 8.6% | 7.7% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 46.9% | 20.6% | improving |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 62.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-03 15:00 KST — HYUNDAI STEEL 실적 발표 (004020)
- 🔴 08-03 15:00 KST — DL 실적 발표 (000210)
- 🔴 08-04 15:00 KST — Hanwha 실적 발표 (000880)
- 🔴 08-06 09:00 KST — DOOSAN 배당락일 (000150)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — AMOREPACIFIC Holdings 실적 발표 (002790)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — LOTTE Fine Chem 실적 발표 (004000)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 5 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains elevated on the downside, while bonds show a clear bullish bias. :macro:
- Credit: Credit conditions are registering as neutral, with bearish sentiment outweighing bullish readings. :credit:
- FX: Foreign exchange markets exhibit a strong bearish leaning, suggesting downward pressure across major pairs. :fx:
- Liquidity: Liquidity conditions are reading as extremely bullish, indicating ample available capital flow. :liquidity:
- Commodities: Commodity sentiment is balanced, showing a slight tilt toward bullishness. :commodities:
- Inflation: Inflation expectations are neutral, with no discernible directional bias from the data. :inflation:
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency markets are showing deteriorating trends, with bearish sentiment significantly dominating. :crypto:
- Korea: Korean equities are showing deteriorating trends, with bearish readings slightly outpacing bullish ones. :korea:
- US: US equities are showing an improving trend, with bullish readings suggesting underlying support. :us:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: strong liquidity and improving US sentiment contrast with bearish readings in FX and Crypto. The overall picture suggests caution, as the underlying macro indicators are mixed despite the positive readings in US equities. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-07-27
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-01 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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