2026-08-02 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 8.5% | 43.9% | deteriorating |
| Korea | neutral | 4.7% | 9.1% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 29.1% | 6.8% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 62.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: KR_CONSUMER
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-03 15:00 KST — DL 실적 발표 (000210)
- 🔴 08-03 15:00 KST — HYUNDAI STEEL 실적 발표 (004020)
- 🔴 08-04 15:00 KST — Hanwha 실적 발표 (000880)
- 🔴 08-06 09:00 KST — DOOSAN 배당락일 (000150)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — AMOREPACIFIC Holdings 실적 발표 (002790)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — LOTTE Fine Chem 실적 발표 (004000)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 5 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is reading extreme bearish, while liquidity remains extremely bullish.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds exhibit a clear bullish bias, while credit remains in a neutral state.
- Sham(FX): FX is showing an extreme bearish tilt, suggesting significant downward pressure.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are registering a neutral stance, with bullish indicators slightly outweighing bearish ones.
- Kosho(KR): US equities show a neutral reading with a slight bullish leaning, while Korean equities are also neutral but showing signs of deterioration.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: liquidity is robustly positive, which contrasts with the bearish readings observed in FX and the deteriorating trend noted in crypto. The bond market’s bullish posture provides a counter-narrative to the caution seen elsewhere. Overall, the tape suggests a cautious environment where underlying liquidity supports asset classes despite directional headwinds in currency and digital assets. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-07-27
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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