2026-08-02 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 8.5% | 44.3% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 4.7% | 9.1% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 29.1% | 6.8% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 62.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-03 09:00 KST — Aon plc 배당락일 (AON)
- 🔴 08-03 09:00 KST — Ameriprise Financial, Inc. 배당락일 (AMP)
- 🔴 08-04 05:00 KST — The AES Corporation 실적 발표 (AES)
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — Apollo Global Management, Inc. 실적 발표 (APO)
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — AMETEK, Inc. 실적 발표 (AME)
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 실적 발표 (ADM)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 5 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains elevated on the downside, while bonds show a clear bullish bias. :macro:
- Credit: Credit conditions are registering as neutral, with bearish sentiment outweighing bullish readings. :credit:
- FX: Foreign exchange markets exhibit an extreme bearish leaning, with bearish readings dominating the current state. :fx:
- Liquidity: Liquidity conditions are reading as extremely bullish, suggesting ample available capital. :liquidity:
- Commodities: Commodity trends are neutral, showing a slight lean toward bullish readings. :commodities:
- Inflation: Inflation readings are neutral, with an equal split between bullish and bearish indicators. :inflation:
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency sentiment is neutral, with bearish indicators showing a more pronounced presence than bullish ones. :crypto:
- Korea: The Korean market is showing neutral readings, but the underlying trend is noted as deteriorating. :korea:
- US: The US market is reading as neutral, with bullish indicators slightly outweighing bearish ones. :us:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The data suggests a divergence where liquidity and bond strength are positive, contrasting with pronounced bearishness in FX and elevated volatility readings. The overall market tone appears cautious, balancing underlying support from liquidity against sector-specific weakness noted in Korea. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-07-27
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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