2026-08-03 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 12.4% | 42.0% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 32.7% | 21.5% | improving |
| US | neutral | 29.1% | 6.8% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 62.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_INDUSTRIALS · weak: KR_CONSUMER
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-04 15:00 KST — Hanwha 실적 발표 (000880)
- 🔴 08-06 09:00 KST — DOOSAN 배당락일 (000150)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — LOTTE Fine Chem 실적 발표 (004000)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — AMOREPACIFIC Holdings 실적 발표 (002790)
- 🔴 08-07 21:30 KST — US Nonfarm Payrolls
- 🟡 08-03 23:00 KST — ISM Manufacturing PMI
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is trending towards bearish territory, though the overall sentiment remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits a clear bullish bias, while credit conditions are registering as neutral.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements show a pronounced bearish leaning, despite liquidity readings suggesting strong bullish support.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity trends are balanced, with a slight leaning towards bullish sentiment.
- Kosho(KR): Korean equities show a neutral stance overall, with industrials demonstrating strength while consumer sectors appear weaker.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: strong bullish readings in liquidity and bonds contrast with bearish readings in FX and volatility. The underlying equity picture suggests sector rotation within Asia, while the US remains in a neutral state. On balance, the tape suggests caution amid conflicting directional signals. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-03
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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