2026-08-04 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 10.7% | 37.2% | deteriorating |
| Korea | neutral | 14.2% | 2.9% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 32.7% | 30.9% | stable |
| Volatility | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 50.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: KR_CONSUMER
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-06 09:00 KST — DOOSAN 배당락일 (000150)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — LOTTE Fine Chem 실적 발표 (004000)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — AMOREPACIFIC Holdings 실적 발표 (002790)
- 🔴 08-07 21:30 KST — US Nonfarm Payrolls
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility metrics show a strong leaning toward bearish sentiment, while the overall trend remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits a bullish leaning, with the trend remaining stable across the board.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange dynamics are reading as extremely bearish, though the underlying trend is stable.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are registering a neutral state, with bullish readings balancing out the bearish ones, and the trend is stable.
- Kosho(KR): The Korean equity market is showing a neutral reading, with the trend deteriorating, while consumer sectors appear weak.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture suggests significant bearishness across liquidity and volatility, contrasted by stable bullish readings in bonds. The divergence between the bearish FX and the neutral/deteriorating crypto and Korean equity readings suggests caution. On balance, the market is exhibiting a mixed regime, requiring close observation of liquidity flows. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-03
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-04 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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