2026-08-04 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 10.7% | 37.0% | deteriorating |
| Korea | neutral | 32.7% | 21.5% | improving |
| US | neutral | 32.7% | 30.9% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 62.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: CONSUMER_CYCLICAL, HEALTHCARE · weak: REAL_ESTATE, BASIC_MATERIALS, UTILITIES
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — Apollo Global Management, Inc. 실적 발표 (APO)
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 실적 발표 (ADM)
- 🔴 08-04 21:30 KST — AMETEK, Inc. 실적 발표 (AME)
- 🔴 08-05 05:00 KST — Astera Labs, Inc. 실적 발표 (ALAB)
- 🔴 08-05 05:00 KST — Amgen Inc. 실적 발표 (AMGN)
- 🔴 08-05 05:00 KST — Arista Networks, Inc. 실적 발표 (ANET)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains elevated on the downside, while bonds show a clear bullish bias, supported by strong liquidity readings. :macro:
- Korea: The Korean market exhibits a neutral stance, with bullish sentiment slightly outweighing bearish readings, suggesting an improving underlying trend. :korea:
- US: US equities are reading as neutral overall, with a near-even split between bullish and bearish indicators, maintaining a stable trend. :us:
- Sectors: Cyclical consumer spending and healthcare sectors are showing relative strength, while real estate, basic materials, and utilities appear weaker. :sectors:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The cross-market data presents a divergence: while liquidity is extremely bullish and bonds are leaning positive, the FX and Crypto readings suggest significant bearish pressure in those specific areas. The general market structure appears to be finding a stable, albeit cautious, range. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-03
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-04 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)