2026-08-05 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 11.7% | 37.8% | deteriorating |
| Korea | extreme_bullish | 69.9% | 5.6% | improving |
| US | neutral | 38.5% | 25.7% | stable |
| Volatility | bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 50.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bearish | 25.0% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | extreme_bullish | 40.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_INDUSTRIALS, KR_IT_MEDIA, KR_SEMICONDUCTOR, CRYPTO · weak: KR_CONSUMER
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-06 09:00 KST — DOOSAN 배당락일 (000150)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — LOTTE Fine Chem 실적 발표 (004000)
- 🔴 08-06 15:00 KST — AMOREPACIFIC Holdings 실적 발표 (002790)
- 🔴 08-07 21:30 KST — US Nonfarm Payrolls
- 🔴 08-11 21:30 KST — US CPI Release
- 🔴 08-12 15:00 KST — SamsungF&MIns 실적 발표 (000810)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- VIX: Volatility readings indicate a persistent bearish bias across the board, with no discernible shift in the underlying trend. :vix:
- Bonds: The bond market sentiment is balanced, showing an equal measure of bullish and bearish conviction, with the trend remaining stable.
- Credit: Credit conditions exhibit a strong bullish leaning, suggesting robust underlying confidence, and this trend remains stable.
- FX: Foreign exchange sentiment leans bearish, with a notable majority favoring the downside, and the trend remains stable.
- Liquidity: Liquidity conditions are read as extremely bearish, with a significant skew toward bearish readings, and the trend remains stable.
- Commodities: Commodity sentiment is strongly bullish, with a clear majority favoring upward movement, and the trend remains stable.
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency sentiment is neutral, showing a mixed bag of bullish and bearish readings, and the trend is noted as deteriorating. :crypto:
- Korea: Korean equities show an extremely bullish leaning, with a high degree of bullish conviction, and the trend is improving. :korea:
- US: US market sentiment is neutral, displaying a slight bullish edge against bearish readings, and the trend remains stable. :us:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: commodities and Korean equities show pronounced strength, while liquidity and FX point toward significant headwinds. The general backdrop suggests caution despite localized strength. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-03
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-05 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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