2026-08-09 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 30.0% | 20.7% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 46.9% | 2.1% | stable |
| US | neutral | 33.2% | 12.3% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 50.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | sideways_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: Utilities, UTILITIES
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-10 09:00 KST — American Electric Power Company 배당락일 (AEP)
- 🔴 08-10 09:00 KST — Apple Inc. 배당락일 (AAPL)
- 🔴 08-11 21:30 KST — US CPI Release
- 🔴 08-12 21:30 KST — Amcor plc 실적 발표 (AMCR)
- 🔴 08-13 21:30 KST — Amcor plc 실적 발표 (AMCR)
- 🔴 08-14 05:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 실적 발표 (AMAT)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds show a neutral stance with a slight leaning towards bullish sentiment.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange dynamics read as bearish, with the majority sentiment pointing downward.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are exhibiting a neutral regime, showing no discernible directional bias.
- Maine(US): US equities are reading as neutral overall, with no specific sector dominance noted in the provided data.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market exhibits a complex picture where volatility is reading extremely bearish, while credit remains in a sideways-bullish posture. Liquidity and FX are both registering bearish tilts, suggesting caution despite underlying credit strength. The overall sentiment across major asset classes appears balanced, but the bearish readings in liquidity and FX warrant attention. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-03
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-09 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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