2026-08-11 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 38.5% | 14.6% | improving |
| Korea | extreme_bullish | 80.8% | 3.8% | improving |
| US | neutral | 41.2% | 24.9% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 50.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bearish | 37.5% | 50.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 60.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_UTILITIES, KR_INDUSTRIALS, KR_MATERIALS, KR_IT_MEDIA · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-11 21:30 KST — US CPI Release
- 🔴 08-12 15:00 KST — SamsungF&MIns 실적 발표 (000810)
- 🔴 08-13 15:00 KST — LG Corp. 실적 발표 (003550)
- 🔴 08-13 15:00 KST — Hyundai M&F INS 실적 발표 (001450)
- 🔴 08-13 15:00 KST — Nongshim 실적 발표 (004370)
- 🔴 08-13 15:00 KST — SamsungF&MIns 실적 발표 (000810)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains elevated with a clear bearish tilt across the board.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits a bullish bias, while credit conditions are registering as neutral.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements show a bearish leaning, coupled with significantly bearish liquidity readings.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are currently in a neutral state, with a slight bullish lean observed.
- Kosho(KR): Korean equities display an extreme bullish reading, with utilities, industrials, materials, and IT media showing strength.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a divergence: bonds and commodities show underlying support, while liquidity and FX point toward caution. The contrast between the extreme bullish reading in Korean equities and the bearish signals in liquidity suggests sector-specific strength is currently decoupled from broader systemic conditions. The market appears to be navigating differing directional signals across asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-11 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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